FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma

<div> <h2>FC Gifu vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Form surge meets away frailty</h2> <p>Matchweek 30 arrives at Gifu Nagaragawa Stadium (Sat, 14:00 JST) with both clubs chasing late-season traction. Recent sentiment pieces and listings confirm the schedule and the lower-half stakes, but the on-field numbers tell a sharper story: Gifu are trending up, Gunma are sliding on the road.</p> <h3>Context and stakes</h3> <p>Gifu sit 14th and Gunma 18th in the latest full table snapshot. Both sides have struggled over the season, yet trajectories diverge markedly right now: Gifu have taken 16 points from their last eight, while Gunma have managed just four across the same span. With seven days since their last league action and no major injury flags reported in the buildup, this is about performance rather than availability.</p> <h3>Form lines and momentum</h3> <p>Gifu’s resurgence is clear: five straight league wins, including a 0–5 dismantling of Sagamihara and back-to-back one-goal home results where they managed game states well. In the last eight, they’re +65% on points per game (2.00 vs 1.21 season), scoring more (+21%) and conceding far less (-47%). Gunma, conversely, are winless in six, with four consecutive away defeats and defensive issues that intensify after halftime.</p> <h3>Tactical tendencies and key players</h3> <p>Gifu’s recent production has come from wide forwards and late runners. Jin Izumisawa’s movement between lines and Shohei Aihara’s end-product (five league goals, strong underlying involvement) have complemented set-piece threats from Ryo Nishitani and Ryoma Kita. Expect Gifu to probe the channels and attack second-phase spaces where Gunma have struggled to re-set their shape.</p> <p>Gunma’s away attack isn’t toothless (1.64 goals per away game) — Yuya Takazawa’s link play and Atsushi Kawata’s shot volume can trouble a Gifu back line that isn’t elite at protecting leads. But the visitors’ away defending is the crux: 2.29 conceded per away game and only a 7% clean-sheet rate on the road.</p> <h3>Numbers that matter</h3> <ul> <li>Gunma away matches average 3.93 total goals; away Over 2.5 lands 64% and BTTS 79%.</li> <li>Gifu at home average 1.14 GF and 1.21 GA; overall they are 62% BTTS, leaning toward open games.</li> <li>Second-half pattern: Gunma concede 61% of their goals after halftime (66% away), while Gifu’s recent scoring surge includes a string of goals at 46’+.</li> <li>Game state sensitivity: if Gifu score first, Gunma’s away PPG when conceding first collapses to 0.14; their away lead-defending rate is just 38%.</li> </ul> <h3>What the market says — and where the value sits</h3> <p>With Gifu priced around 2.09 in the 1X2 and 1.60 on the draw-no-bet line, the market acknowledges their form but still prices some home fragility. The DNB at 1.60 looks a pragmatic anchor given Gunma’s away numbers and Gifu’s momentum. For totals, Over 2.5 at 1.62 draws strong support from Gunma’s away profile (3.93 goals per match, BTTS 79%).</p> <p>Two nuanced values pop: Gifu team total Over 1.5 at 1.86, considering Gunma have conceded 3+ in three of their last four away, and Highest Scoring Half: 2nd Half at 1.98, aligned with Gunma’s late collapses and Gifu’s recent late scoring rhythm.</p> <h3>Projected flow</h3> <p>Expect Gifu to start assertively but the game to open further after halftime. Gunma’s threat in transition means Gifu’s lead-defending (historically average) could be tested; however, the visitors’ habit of conceding late should tilt the balance toward the hosts in the final third of the match. A 2–1 or 3–1 home result fits the data footprint best.</p> <h3>Bottom line</h3> <p>Form and situational metrics point to Gifu having the edge on a relatively fair line. Goals are the stronger macro theme headlined by Gunma’s high-variance away matches. For bettors, pairing a Gifu DNB position with an Over 2.5 exposure captures both the form gap and the open-game expectation.</p> <p><em>Note: Always stake responsibly; prices referenced are the latest consolidated odds provided and may move before kickoff.</em></p> </div>