Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
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<html> <head><title>Rosenborg vs Sandefjord – Comprehensive Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form, Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Rosenborg welcome Sandefjord to Lerkendal with contrasting narratives: the hosts are under pressure after a five-game winless run, while Sandefjord arrive unbeaten in four. The table says fifth versus ninth, but venue dynamics and stylistic matchup tilt some edges back toward Rosenborg.</p> <h2>Team News and Expected XIs</h2> <p>Latest reports indicate Rosenborg will be without Aslak Fonn Witry and Noah Sahsah, while Sandefjord miss Sander Risan. Both managers are set to continue in 4-3-3.</p> <ul> <li><strong>Rosenborg (4-3-3):</strong> Tangvik; Mortensen, Konradsen Ceide, Nemcik, Jenssen; Reitan-Sunde, Selnaes, Duris; Pereira, Islamović, Ceide.</li> <li><strong>Sandefjord (4-3-3):</strong> Eriksson; Pedersen, Smajlovic, Kristiansen, van der Spa; Pettersen, Ottosson, Mettler; Cheng, Sigurðarson, Dunsby.</li> </ul> <h2>Tactical Matchup</h2> <p>Rosenborg’s home model emphasizes control and territorial pressure, reflected in low home goals against (0.92) and a high clean sheet rate (42%). They build through Selnaes and look to isolate Islamović early, then increase tempo after the interval—58% of their home goals come in the second half.</p> <p>Sandefjord are quicker in transition with Sigurðarson the focal point. They’ve upped their pressing triggers lately, but away from home their defensive line has struggled to absorb pressure (2.00 GA). Their away equalizing rate (14%) is a red flag—if they fall behind, they seldom recover.</p> <h2>Key Numbers That Matter</h2> <ul> <li><strong>Home vs Away split:</strong> Rosenborg 1.67 PPG at home vs Sandefjord 0.83 PPG away.</li> <li><strong>First-goal leverage:</strong> Rosenborg 2.38 PPG when scoring first; Sandefjord away equalizing rate only 14%.</li> <li><strong>Corners profile:</strong> Lerkendal averages 12.33 total corners; Over 9.5 has landed in 83% of Rosenborg home games.</li> <li><strong>Late action:</strong> Rosenborg concede late (11 goals 76–90’ overall), but also increase their own production after HT.</li> </ul> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <p><strong>Dino Islamović</strong> is Rosenborg’s reference point (12 league goals), a reliable finisher who pins centre-backs and brings runners into play. <strong>Marius Broholm</strong> adds ball-carrying and final-third thrust, while <strong>Emil Ceide</strong> provides the service. For Sandefjord, <strong>Stefan Ingi Sigurðarson</strong> (13 goals) is in the midst of a breakout season, with intelligent movement across the line and strong finishing in transition moments.</p> <h2>Weather and Game Rhythm</h2> <p>Cool, cloudy conditions with a chance of rain in Trondheim could encourage more direct play. Wet surfaces often elevate clearances and defensive headers—historically a tailwind for corners. Expect a tight first half, opening up after the break as Sandefjord chase phases and Rosenborg’s tempo rises.</p> <h2>Market Read and Value</h2> <p>The 1x2 has Rosenborg at 1.95—a nod to home strength versus Sandefjord’s away frailty. The total (Over 2.5 at 1.50) is fair given the clash of an underish home team and overish traveler, but not the best edge. The standout value sits on <strong>Total Corners Over 10 (1.82)</strong> thanks to Lerkendal’s inflated corner profile.</p> <p>For player props, the away talisman offers a price-led angle: <strong>Stefan Ingi Sigurðarson Anytime (2.88)</strong> outperforms his baseline scoring probability even after venue downgrade. With Rosenborg conceding 2.38 per game across their last eight, his chance creation remains live.</p> <h2>Verdict</h2> <p>The Oracle expects Rosenborg to wrestle this by the margins at home, with second-half momentum decisive. The most robust betting angle is corners: volume-driven, weather-assisted, and supported by consistent venue data. Secondary leans: Rosenborg at the price, second half to be the higher-scoring half, and Sigurðarson as the best value scorer.</p> </body> </html>
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