Haugesund vs Rosenborg

Eliteserien - Norway Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 05:15 PM Haugesund Sparebank Arena FT

Match Information

Home Team: Haugesund
Away Team: Rosenborg
Competition: Eliteserien
Country: Norway
Date & Time: Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 05:15 PM
Venue: Haugesund Sparebank Arena

Match Preview

<html> <head> <title>Haugesund vs Rosenborg – Betting Preview and Tactical Insight</title> </head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Haugesund host Rosenborg at Haugesund Stadion on 14 September (17:15 local). The stakes are clearest for the hosts: bottom of the table, a goal-shy attack, and a coach under pressure. Rosenborg, sitting in the pack chasing European spots, arrive with steadier foundations despite a recent wobble away from home.</p> <h3>Form and Confidence</h3> <p>Haugesund’s league picture is bleak: 6 points from 20, only one home win, and just 0.60 goals scored per game at their stadium. Recent weeks have seen a slight bump (a 3–2 over Sarpsborg 08 and a 2–2 at Fredrikstad), but the underlying trend remains poor. Fan sentiment is pessimistic and there are constant calls for tactical recalibration.</p> <p>Rosenborg’s trajectory is more complex. Their season-long metrics are solid (1.58 PPG), but their last eight league matches have dipped to 1.00 PPG while conceding 2.00 per game. They’ve also suffered bruising away defeats (KFUM, Kristiansund). Yet squad stability, depth, and a clearer identity underpin a cautiously optimistic mood around the club.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics and Match Flow</h3> <p>Haugesund’s home splits are stark: 0.50 PPG, GF 0.60, GA 2.50, and a remarkable 70% failed-to-score rate. They spend 42% of their home minutes trailing and have a lead-defending rate of only 33%. They concede heavily after the interval—64% of home goals allowed are in the second half, with a critical spike from minutes 76–90. This consistently drags their matches into late chaos, typically not in their favor.</p> <p>Rosenborg’s away profile is mixed: 1.10 PPG with 1.90 GA per game. They can be open, but they also boast a 30% away clean-sheet rate and, crucially, face the division’s most anemic home attack. Expect Rosenborg pressure to increase as fatigue sets in for Haugesund—this is a contest likely to tilt later rather than sooner.</p> <h3>Key Battles and Players</h3> <p>Dino Islamovic spearheads Rosenborg’s threat. Recent match logs show him tearing through defenses (including four against Tromsø), and he has supporting supply from Adrian Pereira and Aslak Fonn Witry down the flanks. In goal, Sander Tangvik has been one of the league’s better shot-stoppers this season.</p> <p>For Haugesund, production is sparse. Runar Espejord and Sory Diarra have not produced consistently, and the team’s top-end chance creation just hasn’t translated to goals. Midfielder Julius Eskesen has been one of their brighter contributors, but the lack of a reliable finisher remains a central problem.</p> <h3>Tactical Expectations</h3> <p>Rosenborg should keep a compact mid-block out of possession, inviting Haugesund to break them down—something the hosts have struggled to do—before looking to exploit transitions and wide overloads. Wet, windy conditions in Haugesund typically reward the side that controls territory and set-plays; Rosenborg’s superior set-piece delivery and aerial presence could matter.</p> <p>Haugesund need to avoid their habitual drop-off after half-time. Expect more conservative early phases from the hosts, aiming to reach the interval level. But their late-game record suggests cracks appear as the match lengthens, which aligns with the “2nd half highest scoring” angle.</p> <h3>Markets and Value</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Away Clean Sheet (2.50)</strong>: The market underestimates Haugesund’s 70% home FTS rate. Even acknowledging RBK’s away volatility, the matchup suits the visitors.</li> <li><strong>BTTS No (2.20)</strong>: Anchored in the same host scoring ineptitude; correlates with a Rosenborg win or a cagey 0–1/0–2.</li> <li><strong>Rosenborg & Under 4.5 (2.00)</strong>: Offers a fair boost on the short away ML, assuming Haugesund’s attack continues to misfire.</li> <li><strong>2nd Half Highest Scoring (1.93)</strong>: Haugesund’s late collapses are statistically significant; weather and match state amplify this.</li> <li><strong>Anytime: Islamovic (1.91)</strong>: Current form plus Haugesund’s defensive numbers make this an appealing personal angle.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Rosenborg’s greater physicality, set-piece threat, and depth should tell, particularly after the interval. Haugesund’s chronic scoring issues and late-game leakage tilt the board toward a professional away win and a strong clean-sheet chance.</p> <p><strong>Projected score:</strong> Haugesund 0–2 Rosenborg.</p> </body> </html>

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