Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head> <title>Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund: Odds, Analysis, and Betting Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Match Preview</h2> <p>League leaders Bodo/Glimt welcome bottom-placed Haugesund to Aspmyra Stadion in a meeting that pits the division’s most complete side against its least effective travellers. Bodo’s 12-match unbeaten run underscores their title credentials, while Haugesund’s single win from 23 tells its own story. The betting markets reflect the gulf—yet there remains value in selective angles, particularly around totals and method-of-victory props.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Bodo/Glimt have accelerated over the last eight league games (20 points, 3.38 goals per game), and even after a 1–1 away draw at Rosenborg, their metrics remain elite at both ends. Haugesund, by contrast, have taken four points in their last eight, and travel with the worst away record in the league: 0.09 points per game, 0 wins, and 55% of away matches without scoring.</p> <h3>Injuries and Team News</h3> <p>Bodo face a busy treatment room: Fredrik André Bjørkan is out, while Kasper Høgh (thigh) is doubtful and Ulrik Saltnes has been ill. The depth in Bodø mitigates the risk—Jens Petter Hauge’s resurgence has been crucial. For Haugesund, absences to Martin Samuelsen and others sap attacking quality and rotation options. The injuries arguably dampen Bodo’s ceiling more than their floor, nudging bettors toward unders and to-nil pathways rather than massive handicap spreads.</p> <h3>Tactical Battle</h3> <p>Expect Bodo’s 4-3-3 to impose early pressure—statistically they score first early (avg minute 24 at home). Haugesund’s away data is brutal: they concede first in 91%, lose the first half in 73%, and rarely recover (0.10 ppg when conceding first). That naturally points toward early control for the hosts. The second half may open further as Haugesund tire; their 76–90’ concession count (19 goals) is a glaring weakness Bodo can exploit in transition and set-pieces.</p> <h3>Key Players</h3> <p>Hauge is the headline for Bodo, combining productivity with timing of runs, while Patrick Berg’s control gives the hosts territorial dominance. If Høgh misses out, Bodo still possess secondary goals via wide forwards and late-arriving midfielders (Fet, Bassi). For Haugesund, Sory Diarra and Troy Nyhammer carry what little threat exists, but service and territory are consistent problems against top sides.</p> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <p>Moneyline prices have little utility (Bodo around 1.03), but the Result/Total combo “Bodo & Under 4.5” around 2.10 creates a much better risk-reward balance given Haugesund’s low scoring rate and Bodo’s propensity to keep home clean sheets. “Win to Nil” is a complementary route at 1.65. The market leans heavy to high totals; however, Bodo home over 3.5 has landed only 36% this season. That pattern keeps the Under 4.5 and home-win-plus-unders angles live.</p> <h3>Prop and Corners</h3> <p>Exact score 3–0 at 6.00 correlates tightly with the macro thesis (Bodo to control, Haugesund to struggle, total kept under control). Corners trend modest at Aspmyra; Under 11 corners near even money is reasonable with both teams’ averages hovering around 10–10.5.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Bodo/Glimt 3–0 Haugesund. The hosts’ class gap, improved form, and Haugesund’s blunt away attack point toward a comfortable but not excessive margin. Injuries reduce the likelihood of a 6–0 type rout, making the under-lean (particularly under 4.5) and to-nil outcomes the most attractive portfolio plays.</p> </body> </html>
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