Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia
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<html> <head><title>Piast Gliwice vs Jagiellonia – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form Lines Collide in Gliwice</h2> <p>Piast Gliwice welcome Jagiellonia Białystok to the Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach with the clubs heading in opposite directions on early-season form. Piast sit bottom after five games without a win, while Jagiellonia have surged to four wins in five, riding a confident attacking wave and a growing reputation for second-half control.</p> <h3>The Venue Lens: Piast’s Low-Event Home Profile</h3> <p>Two home matches, zero goals scored, and just one conceded. That’s the stark summary of Piast’s home campaign so far. Their numbers shout “suppression”: 0.00 GF/game, 0.50 GA/game, 50% clean sheets, and 100% failed-to-score at home. They’ve drawn 0–0 and lost 0–1; the Stadion Miejski has been quiet in terms of goals. It’s a stark contrast to Jagiellonia’s season profile, which features 2.40 goals per game for and 4.20 total goals per match overall. The tension in the data lies here: a low-output venue hosting a high-tempo visitor.</p> <h3>Jagiellonia’s Second-Half Edge</h3> <p>Jagiellonia’s statistical personality: balance tilted to the late moments. They’ve scored 58% of their goals after half-time, including four between 76–90 minutes without conceding in that window. That dovetails with Piast’s home pattern: all their conceded goals have arrived in the second half, and their average minute conceded first at home is a remarkably late 84’. Combining those patterns elevates the likelihood that the game’s decisive moments come late—and that Jagiellonia have the edge when the match opens up.</p> <h3>Key Matchups and Players</h3> <p>Piast’s attack relies heavily on Erik Jirka’s direct running, but tellingly both of his goals came away from home. The supporting cast, including Quentin Boisgard and Michał Chrapek, have supplied some ball progression but not end product inside this stadium. At the other end, veteran goalkeeper František Plach has been steady.</p> <p>For Jagiellonia, Jesús Imaz is the headline: four goals and three assists in five league matches, involved in more than half of his team’s strikes. Afimico Pululu offers physicality and runs that pin defenses back, while Álex Pozo and Bartłomiej Wdowik give width and creative delivery. With Taras Romanczuk anchoring midfield, Jagiellonia have the tools to tilt territory and generate the late wave that Piast have struggled to withstand.</p> <h3>Situational Edges Favour the Visitors</h3> <p>The biggest gap is in how these teams cope with adversity. When conceding first, Piast have earned 0.00 PPG; Jagiellonia still manage 2.00 PPG overall and a perfect 3.00 away in that state. Jagiellonia’s equalizing rate (80%) and lead defending rate (80%) contrast starkly with Piast’s 0% in both metrics. In short: when the game state shifts, Jagiellonia adapt; Piast do not.</p> <h3>First Half Cagey, Second Half Decisive</h3> <p>Expect a low-event first period. Piast have drawn at half-time in 80% of their matches (100% at home), and Jagiellonia’s only away game ended level at the interval. Combine that with the venue’s minimal scoring and the visitors’ stronger late-game profile, and a 0–0 or 0–1 HT feels plausible—before Jagiellonia’s pressure mounts after the break.</p> <h3>Odds, Value and the Betting View</h3> <ul> <li>Away DNB at 1.85 aligns with the form and state-management metrics while protecting against the stalemate risk.</li> <li>First-half draw at 2.10 is backed by Piast’s 100% HT draw record at home.</li> <li>Second half highest scoring (2.10) leverages Jagiellonia’s late scoring surge and Piast’s second-half concessions.</li> <li>BTTS No at 1.95 is supported by Piast’s 100% failed-to-score at home and overall attacking anemia.</li> <li>Scoreline lean: 0–1 at 7.00 reflects the venue’s suppression and Jagiellonia’s narrow-away-win profile.</li> </ul> <h3>Context and Conditions</h3> <p>No major injuries are reported for either side. Both squads are near full strength, and mild, dry conditions are expected—ideal for a game decided by structure and patience. With the season still young, sample sizes remain small, but the venue splits and situational metrics are strong enough to justify a cautious, value-led stake on the visitors and the late-scoring angles.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Piast Gliwice 0–1 Jagiellonia. A chess match early, with Jagiellonia finding the decisive moment after the break.</p> </body> </html>
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