ŁKS Łódź II vs Olimpia Grudziądz
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<html> <head><title>ŁKS Łódź II vs Olimpia Grudziądz – Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form and Context</h2> <p>ŁKS Łódź II welcome Olimpia Grudziądz in an early-season II Liga – East clash, with the hosts seeking traction after a sluggish start and the visitors looking to extend an unbeaten away run. The table positions frame the mood: ŁKS sit 17th with five points, while Olimpia are 8th on nine points. Both sides have enjoyed ample rest since the last round, and there are no significant injuries or suspensions reported by local outlets.</p> <h2>Numbers That Matter</h2> <p>The statistical contrast is clear. At home, ŁKS have been sturdy: 2.00 points per game, conceding just 0.50 goals on average, and keeping a 50% clean-sheet rate across two matches (3–1 vs Chojniczanka, 0–0 vs Warta). But that’s a small sample. Their broader picture is less rosy: overall PPG of 0.83 and a 50% failed-to-score rate.</p> <p>Olimpia’s away sample is more revealing: 1.67 PPG and 2.00 goals scored per game, with all three road fixtures landing both teams to score (1–2, 1–1, 3–3). They have yet to lose away and are particularly resilient, showing a 100% equalizing rate on the road. The visitors do allow chances (1.67 GA away), which has fueled their BTTS-100% away profile.</p> <h2>Styles and Phases</h2> <p>Timing tells an intriguing story. ŁKS at home are late bloomers: their average scoring minute is 86, and they’ve scored three times in the 76–90 segment while conceding none in that window. Olimpia away are more elastic, often involved early (0–15: GF 2, GA 2) and still dangerous late (76–90: GF 2, GA 2). Expect a cagey start to give way to action in the final third of the match, especially if one side chases.</p> <h2>Situational Edges</h2> <p>Two metrics converge strongly toward a stalemate: ŁKS have spent an extraordinary 99% of home minutes level, and Olimpia have drawn 67% of their away fixtures. Add in both teams’ 100% venue-specific equalizing rates and you get a high probability of a close, seesaw affair.</p> <h2>Individuals to Watch</h2> <p>Olimpia’s attacking tandem of Dominik Frelek and Maciej Mas has carried much of the load. Frelek has delivered in multiple matches and has a penchant for key, late contributions. Mas provides early punch, with goals that tilt match states quickly. For ŁKS, set-piece threat M. Rozwandowicz and the dynamism of Lamine Coulibaly were decisive in the Chojniczanka win; if they break through, it often comes late, leveraging pressure and fatigue.</p> <h2>Tactical Snapshot</h2> <p>ŁKS should favor compactness and transitions, trusting their home defensive record while probing late. Olimpia’s road pattern suggests front-foot moments early but with vulnerabilities in defensive transitions. The visitors’ lead-defending rate away (25%) underlines why their games often drift toward draws, even when they get in front.</p> <h2>Betting Outlook</h2> <ul> <li>Primary angle: The draw is attractively priced at 3.35 given the draw-heavy away profile for Olimpia and the level-time dominance of ŁKS at home.</li> <li>Protection play: Olimpia +0 (DNB) at 1.82 suits bettors expecting the visitors’ superior away attack (2.00 GF) and unbeaten run to matter, while safeguarding against the likely draw.</li> <li>Value leans: BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 hold appeal if market prices are generous (BTTS ≥1.90, O2.5 ≥2.05), driven by Olimpia’s 100% BTTS away and general goal fluidity.</li> </ul> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>Given the data and early-season dynamics, a tight contest with late drama is the base case. 1–1 is the likeliest correct score, with either side capable of nicking it late if momentum swings. If choosing one side, the safer approach is Olimpia draw-no-bet.</p> </body> </html>
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