Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS

<div> <h2>Helsingborg vs Landskrona BoIS: Derby with Diverging Trends</h2> <p>Olympia hosts a fierce Superettan derby as Helsingborg welcome Landskrona BoIS. Beyond the rivalry narrative, the data shows contrasting strengths: Helsingborg’s home defensive steel against Landskrona’s second-half punch.</p> <h3>Form and Motivation</h3> <p>Helsingborg enter under pressure, having failed to score in three straight league matches and losing heavily away to Västerås (4–0) and 2–0 at Kalmar. The atmosphere around the club remains tense, with fans demanding an upward shift after last season’s struggles. Landskrona, meanwhile, sit higher in the table and maintain realistic playoff aspirations. Their 2–1 home win over GIF Sundsvall steadied the ship after a thinner attacking run across the last eight matches (1.00 goals per game).</p> <h3>Tactical Patterns to Watch</h3> <p>Expect a chess match early and an uptick after the interval. Landskrona have scored 68% of their goals in the second half, and Helsingborg concede 59% of their goals after the break. BoIS’s pace on the flanks and counter-press can trouble a Helsingborg team that tends to drop off late.</p> <p>At home, though, Helsingborg are resilient: a 50% clean-sheet rate at Olympia, plus an 80% lead-defending rate. When they score first, their home PPG is 2.40. That makes the first goal massive—if Helsingborg strike early, they often manage the match expertly; if Landskrona do, Helsingborg’s poor equalizing rate (20%) becomes a liability.</p> <h3>Key Players</h3> <p>Helsingborg’s keeper Johan Brattberg has been steady (7.00 rating), helped by a back line anchored by Marcus Gudmann and Wilhelm Nilsson. In attack, Alexander Johansson has flashed end-product with two goals in just 127 minutes; Wilhelm Loeper remains a primary chance creator. For Landskrona, fullback Rassa Rahmani (7.12) and center-back Gustaf Bruzelius (2 goals, 8 yellows) embody their combative edge. Forward Edi Sylisufaj has found the net recently (Aug 9 and 17) and suits the late-transition profile BoIS rely on.</p> <h3>Numbers that Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Helsingborg home clean sheets: 50% (league avg ~30%).</li> <li>Landskrona both teams to score overall: 62% (away 60%), but last-8 attack down 32% versus season.</li> <li>Second-half tilt: Helsingborg 56% GF, 59% GA; Landskrona 68% GF.</li> <li>Helsingborg when conceding first at home: 0.00 PPG; Landskrona equalizing rate overall: 53%.</li> </ul> <h3>Market Translation</h3> <p>The second half should be the higher-event window. “Highest Scoring Half: Second Half” at 2.05 and “2nd Half Over 1.5” at 2.00 both align with time-segment data. The BTTS market feels skewed toward “Yes” (1.60) despite Helsingborg’s low BTTS rate (38% overall) and recent FTS streak—value is on BTTS “No” at 2.15.</p> <p>Result-wise, the handicap leans toward BoIS resilience: Away +0 (DNB) at 2.20 prices an even venue split (both 1.40 PPG in the relevant splits) as underdogs. For a bigger-priced angle, Helsingborg clean sheet at 3.40 overcompensates for BoIS’s away 1.50 GF; it’s a high-variance, small-stake play given HIF’s 50% home CS rate.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a tight, tactical first half and more action after the break. The numbers point to a second-half skew and a lower likelihood of both teams scoring than the market implies. BoIS have the late surge threat; Helsingborg, the home defensive platform. The best way to capture that is leaning into second-half markets and BTTS “No,” with a cautious DNB on Landskrona.</p> </div>