Oddevold vs Utsikten
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<html> <head><title>Oddevold vs Utsikten — Superettan Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form Lines Collide at Rimnersvallen</h2> <p>Oddevold welcome Utsikten to Rimnersvallen with promotion ambitions alive and well, while the visitors fight to arrest an alarming away slump. Conditions in Uddevalla are set to be cool and damp, a typical early-autumn afternoon that could add zip to transitions and crosses.</p> <h3>State of Play and Motivation</h3> <p>Oddevold sit in the upper reaches of Superettan and rank fourth in the last-8 form table. They’ve tightened up compared to season averages (last-8 GA down 18.5%) while nudging their attack up 13%. Utsikten, by contrast, are 13th overall and 13th in the last-8 form standings, with goals scored down 22% and conceded up 12% in that window. The stakes are clear: Oddevold chase the leaders; Utsikten need points to stay clear of the bottom mix.</p> <h3>The Big Theme: Goals and Second-Half Surges</h3> <p>Few fixtures scream goals as loudly as this one on the data. Oddevold’s home matches average 3.25 total goals; Utsikten’s away games average 3.00, with both sides hitting Over 2.5 in 75% of their respective venue splits. Both Teams to Score also lands 75% of the time for each team in these splits. Layer in a distinct second-half surge—Oddevold score 74% of their home goals after the break, Utsikten concede 70% of their away goals in the second half—and the profile suits late action.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchups</h3> <p>Expect Oddevold to build through the flanks with Daniel Krezic and Liridon Kalludra supplying Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul. Krezic’s direct running (5G, 3A) and Kalludra’s timing between lines have complemented a mobile No.9 in Wiedesheim-Paul, who arrives in good touch and thrives on near-post runs and second-phase chances.</p> <p>Utsikten are dangerous in transition, and recent home flashes show life: Kalipha Jawla has been their main spark, while Malkolm Moënza provides width and service. However, the key structural issue persists away from home: a lead-defending rate of just 12%—an extreme outlier versus the league. Even when Utsikten start well, they struggle to control game states away from Gothenburg.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Oddevold home: Over 2.5 (75%), BTTS (75%), goals conceded 1.67 per game.</li> <li>Utsikten away: Over 2.5 (75%), BTTS (75%), 0% clean sheets; concede 1.92 per game.</li> <li>Second-half bias: Oddevold 67% of all goals after HT; Utsikten away 70% of GA after HT.</li> <li>Situational edges: Oddevold lead-defending 71%; Utsikten away equalizing only 12% and defending leads 12%.</li> </ul> <h3>Likely XIs and Match Flow</h3> <p><strong>Oddevold:</strong> Sætra; Almqvist, Merbom-Adolfsson, Hedenquist, Olblad; Kalludra, Derviskadic; Krezic, Tornblad, Wiedesheim-Paul, Berntsson.</p> <p><strong>Utsikten:</strong> Tokpah; Hjort, Lagerlund, Berisha; Salaou, Noah Johansson; Moënza, Book, Böhm; Jawla, Sise.</p> <p>With Oddevold’s habit of conceding first at home (opponent scored first 75%), an early Utsikten moment can’t be ruled out—yet the data strongly points to an Oddevold response and a busier second half once space opens.</p> <h3>Betting Perspective</h3> <p>The markets appear to underweight totals and the BTTS angle given the teams’ venue splits. Over 2.5 around 1.85 and BTTS near 1.70 both carry value. If you want a bolder angle, combining BTTS with Over 2.5 at 2.20 or Oddevold & Over 2.5 at 2.75 aligns with the most common away defeat patterns for Utsikten (2-1, 3-1). For player props, Rasmus Wiedesheim-Paul anytime around 2.38 is a fair price against an opponent with 0% away clean sheets.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect goals and momentum swings, with Oddevold’s superior game management and Utsikten’s away fragility decisive after the interval. A 2-1 or 3-1 home win fits the data, but the strongest conviction remains on goals-based markets.</p> </body> </html>
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