Vejle vs Brondby
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Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Vejle vs Brøndby – Superliga Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Vejle vs Brøndby: Top meets bottom in contrasting trajectories</h2> <p>Brøndby arrive in Vejle as title contenders against relegation-threatened hosts. The prevailing sentiment across Danish previews is clear: this is a strong away favorite facing a Vejle side struggling for defensive stability. The betting markets mirror that, with Brøndby around 1.77 to win.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <p>Vejle’s recent run has been grim: losses of 3–0 at OB and 5–2 at Viborg, adding to a broader pattern of six defeats in their last eight league matches. Their season-long numbers show 2.00 goals conceded per game, and that has worsened to 2.63 GA across the last eight.</p> <p>Brøndby, despite back-to-back defeats (0–1 at Copenhagen and 1–3 vs Fredericia), remain third in the table and third in the away standings. In the last eight, their points per game improved and their goals per game jumped by over a third. The bigger picture is of a well-drilled away side rebounding from a wobble rather than collapsing.</p> <h3>Tactical tendencies and goal timing</h3> <p>Brøndby’s away blueprint is efficiency: they’ve conceded only 0.63 goals per away game with a 50% clean sheet rate. They score early and manage game state with authority, netting 73% of their away goals in the first half and scoring first in 62% of away matches. Their lead-defending rate away is a perfect 100%.</p> <p>Vejle’s vulnerabilities are most acute early. Across the season they’ve conceded 71% of their goals in the first half and often chase games. Their lead-defending numbers are weak, and time trailing at home (35%) is materially higher than Brøndby’s time trailing away (17%). All signs point to Brøndby grabbing the initiative and controlling the narrative.</p> <h3>Injuries, suspensions and selection angles</h3> <p>Vejle are undermanned: Damian van Bruggen, Lundrim Hetemi and Clemens Astrup remain out, while Jonathan Amon is nursing a hamstring issue. The back line already looked stretched and the recent goals-against trend underlines the depth problem.</p> <p>Brøndby have suspensions to negotiate: Marko Divković and Noah Nartey miss out after red cards, while right-back Sean Klaiber is still sidelined. Even so, the visitors retain quality: Patrick Pentz is a steady presence in goal; the back line is well-organised; and creative hubs like Daniel Wass feed a forward line led by Nicolai Vallys and Filip Bundgaard. Expect Vallys to assume even more responsibility with the suspended wide threats.</p> <h3>Head-to-head and psychology</h3> <p>Recent H2H leans Brøndby: no Vejle wins in their last eight league meetings. Matches have tended to be open, but Brøndby’s 2025-26 away template has been more controlled and low-scoring than in prior seasons, which may dampen chaos and favor a professional away performance.</p> <h3>What the numbers imply for bettors</h3> <ul> <li>Brøndby to win at 1.77 aligns with their 1.88 away PPG, elite away defense, and Vejle’s escalating GA trend.</li> <li>BTTS No at 2.15 is value-backed by Brøndby’s away BTTS rate of just 12% and 50% clean sheets on the road.</li> <li>Away/Under 2.5 at 4.75 captures Brøndby’s recurring pattern of 0–1/0–2 wins away.</li> <li>Anytime scorer Nicolai Vallys at 2.88 makes sense with Divković/Nartey suspended and Vejle leaking chances; his direct goal contribution rates are team-leading.</li> <li>Corners Over 10.5 at 2.00 is a reasonable even-money punt with Vejle home matches averaging 10.38 corners and Brøndby away at 10.00.</li> </ul> <h3>Forecast</h3> <p>The balance of form, venue splits, and game-state metrics favors Brøndby. The most likely game script is an early Brøndby breakthrough, controlled possession phases, and limited Vejle penetration against a disciplined away back line. A 0–1 or 0–2 away win fits the data best.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s pick</h3> <p>Brøndby to win, BTTS No, and a saver on Brøndby & Under 2.5. For a player angle, back Vallys anytime.</p> </body> </html>
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