Bologna vs Pisa
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<html> <head><title>Bologna vs Pisa: Data-Led Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Bologna vs Pisa: Why the Second Half Should Decide It</h2> <p>Bologna welcome Pisa to the Stadio Renato Dall’Ara on October 5 with the hosts looking to extend a flawless home start. Pisa arrive still searching for a first Serie A win, hampered by a growing injury list and a shortage of goals.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Bologna sit ninth (7 points, W2 D1 L2), buoyed by a gritty home win over Genoa and a late equaliser at Lecce. Pisa are 18th (2 points, W0 D2 L3), goalless in three home matches and with just two goals in their last four league outings. Media and fan sentiment diverges: optimism in Bologna’s camp around a top-half push, frustration and pressure building at Pisa after a difficult adaptation to Serie A.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Match Flow</h3> <p>The data screams second-half action. Bologna score 80% of their goals after the interval, with a home average scoring minute of 74. Pisa concede 67% of their goals after the break (75% in away games), and their lead-defending rate away is 0%. That’s a fraught combination against a Bologna side that typically grow into matches.</p> <p>Expect Bologna to start in measured fashion—every league match has been level at half-time, including two 0-0 home intervals—before the hosts raise tempo through the right channel where Riccardo Orsolini has been decisive. Pisa’s best away periods have been in transition, but they lack consistent chance creation without key signings like Calvin Stengs. Nzola offers a target and penalty threat, yet service remains a concern.</p> <h3>Key Numbers</h3> <ul> <li>Bologna at home: 3.00 PPG; 1.50 GF and 0.50 GA per game; 100% wins.</li> <li>Pisa away: 0.50 PPG; 1.50 GF and 2.00 GA per game; 0% wins.</li> <li>LeadDefendingRate: Bologna home 100% vs Pisa away 0%.</li> <li>Half-time pattern: Bologna drawing at HT in 5/5; home HT 0-0 in 2/2.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p><strong>Riccardo Orsolini (Bologna):</strong> Team talisman and top scorer (3 goals; 60% of Bologna’s total). He’s shouldering finishing and penalty duties in the absence of other forwards and thrives late when Bologna apply sustained pressure. Expect him to match up on Pisa’s right side and test set-piece coverage.</p> <p><strong>M’Bala Nzola (Pisa):</strong> Physical focal point and penalty taker. If Pisa can spring transitions or win set pieces, he’s their best chance—yet isolation is a risk given injuries to creative profiles (Stengs, Aebischer reported out) and thin squad depth.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>Books make Bologna clear favourites at 1.60. The most attractive angle is the second-half profile: “Second Half Winner – Bologna” at 1.95 directly leverages Bologna’s late scoring trend and Pisa’s late concessions. “Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half” at 2.15 correlates and has strong statistical backing.</p> <p>For match result, the Asian line “Bologna -1” at 2.10 offers more upside than 1x2, with a push on a one-goal win. With Pisa conceding 2.00 away and Bologna already hitting two in one of their home matches, “Bologna over 1.5 team goals” at 1.85 is another reasonable route. A prop to consider is Orsolini anytime at 2.75, underpinned by volume, penalties, and his 60% goal share.</p> <h3>Risk Factors</h3> <p>It’s early season; we’re dealing with small samples (Bologna only two home games, Pisa two away). Pisa’s two away matches include an anomalously open 3-2 at Napoli, which inflates their away BTTS and totals. Also note Bologna’s occasional reliance on late penalties; if those marginal calls go against them, goal expectation dips slightly.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Bologna 2–0 Pisa. Expect a cagey first half followed by a decisive second-half surge from the hosts, with Orsolini central to the breakthrough. Pisa’s injuries and poor lead-protection numbers make an away fightback unlikely.</p> </body> </html>
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