Juventus vs Cagliari
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<html> <head> <title>Juventus vs Cagliari: Tactical, Betting and Team News Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Juventus vs Cagliari – Tight margins likely in Turin</h2> <p>Juventus welcome Cagliari to the Allianz Stadium with both sides battling contrasting pressures. Juventus, seventh and under scrutiny, need a controlled three points; Cagliari, 14th and winless in eight, arrive short on firepower but organized enough to frustrate. Expect a chess match decided after the interval.</p> <h3>Team News and Selection</h3> <p>Juventus’ defensive depth is stretched. Gleison Bremer is out until January, while Lloyd Kelly and Juan Cabal are doubtful. There is also concern over Kenan Yildiz and Tim Weah. Even so, the core back line of Danilo, Gatti and Rugani has enough chemistry, and Michele Di Gregorio’s Serie A form (7.0 average rating) inspires confidence. Upfield, Dusan Vlahovic is the primary threat; Teun Koopmeiners and Khéphren Thuram provide ball progression and shots from the half-spaces, with Filip Kostić and Andrea Cambiaso supplying width and crosses.</p> <p>Cagliari are without Andrea Belotti (cruciate ligament) and Marko Rog, sapping their goal threat and midfield balance. Gennaro Borrelli, Sebastiano Esposito and Zito Luvumbo will shoulder attacking duties. At the back, Adam Obert and Sebastiano Luperto protect Elia Caprile, who has been excellent in goal this term (7.33 rating).</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Juventus are unbeaten at home (3W-3D), conceding just 0.83 goals per game in Turin. Their recent wobble has been more about underwhelming attack than porous defense: across the last eight league matches they’ve scored only 0.88 per game while still allowing 0.88. Cagliari’s trajectory is worse: 0.50 points per game in their last eight, with goals against rising to 1.75. Away from home they’ve scored 0.83 per game and failed to score in 50% of those matches.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Luciano Spalletti’s Juventus emphasize control and width, often tilting games toward late pressure. The data backs that: 70% of Juve’s home goals arrive after half-time, with a pronounced surge in minutes 76–90. Claudio Ranieri’s Cagliari are compact, but they concede most after the break: 65% of goals against come in the second half (71% away). That asymmetry points toward a cagey first half and Juventus asserting themselves late.</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Halftime Draw bias: Juventus home HT draws 67%; Cagliari away HT draws 67%.</li> <li>Totals lean under: Juventus over 2.5 just 25% overall (33% home); Cagliari away over 2.5 only 33%.</li> <li>Clean sheet potential: Juventus 50% home CS; Cagliari 50% away FTS, with Belotti out.</li> <li>Late swing: Juventus 5 goals between 76–90 at home; Cagliari concede most after HT.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds, Angles and Value</h3> <p>The market makes Juventus clear 1x2 favourites at 1.33, which feels fair but not attractive standalone. Value emerges on derivatives:</p> <ul> <li>Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 aligns with both sides’ season-long scoring suppression and the injuries hampering attacking depth.</li> <li>First Half Draw at 2.25 is a standout price given both teams’ 67% HT draw tendencies in this venue split.</li> <li>Juventus to Win to Nil at 1.93 marries Cagliari’s away scoring woes and Juve’s home CS rate.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd at 2.05 follows the game-state dynamics and goal timing asymmetry.</li> <li>Corners Over 9.5 at 1.91 looks viable: Juventus home corners average 11.83, Cagliari away 10.0.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Dusan Vlahovic’s movement across the line and penalty equity make his 2.00 Anytime price reasonable in a low-scoring Juve win scenario; one goal could decide it. For Cagliari, Gennaro Borrelli’s hold-up play will be vital for counterattacking outlets, but service may be sporadic without Rog and Belotti.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Juventus squeeze this with control and patience. Expect a tight first half and a late push as the hosts exploit tiring legs. The Oracle’s lean: Juventus 1-0 or 2-0, with second-half superiority deciding the points.</p> </body> </html>
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