Pescara vs Avellino
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<html> <head> <title>Pescara vs Avellino: Second-Half Stakes Rise on the Adriatic</title> <meta name="description" content="Serie B preview: Pescara host Avellino with late-goal trends, injury news, and tactical wrinkles shaping a value-packed betting slate."> </head> <body> <h2>Pescara vs Avellino: Second-Half Stakes Rise on the Adriatic</h2> <p>Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia, 28 October 2025, 19:30 local time — Pescara and Avellino arrive from different emotional vantage points, but both desperate for a stabilizing result in Serie B. Pescara’s season has been lean in points (seven from nine) but rich in chaos and goals, while Avellino’s mid-table platform has been shaken by injuries and consecutive defeats, including a bruising 0-4 home loss to Spezia.</p> <h3>Form and Mood</h3> <p>Pescara’s recent 1-1 away draw at Entella showcased their renewed resilience, with Antonio Di Nardo again on the scoresheet. Supporter sentiment around the Delfini is cautious but improving, helped by the eye test: they finish matches with a surge. Avellino’s mood is tense after back-to-back losses, and the injury list is significant: Gennaro Tutino remains out, while Andrea Favilli, Cosimo Patierno, and Michele Rigione are all doubtful. That forces more responsibility on Valerio Crespi, Tommaso Biasci, and the lively Raffaele Russo.</p> <h3>Tactical Shapes and Mismatches</h3> <p>Pescara are expected to set up in a 3-4-3 hybrid with Sebastiano Desplanches behind a three-man line, Gaetano Letizia providing thrust from wing-back and Matteo Dagasso knitting midfield phases. Up front, Lorenzo Meazzi’s direct running from the right channel and Di Nardo’s penalty-box craft are key. Avellino’s 3-5-2 has clear structure but is short of first-choice firepower; Dimitrios Sounas has been a bright conduit, yet without Tutino/Favilli at peak fitness, their vertical threat is reduced.</p> <h3>The Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Pescara’s home matches average 3.6 total goals; they’ve hit over 2.5 in 80% at home.</li> <li>Second-half bias: 90% of Pescara’s home goals arrive after HT; Avellino concede 89% of their away goals post-interval.</li> <li>Late-game dominance: Pescara’s 76-90 minute split at home is 6 GF, 0 GA; Avellino away in the same window, 0 GF, 3 GA.</li> <li>Avellino away: 2.0 goals conceded per match; recent results 0-2 and 0-4 underscore fragility once they chase.</li> </ul> <h3>Key Battles</h3> <p>Letizia’s overlap against Avellino’s left flank (likely Andrea Cagnano/rotation) could tilt territory and crossing volume toward the hosts. If Pescara’s wing-backs pin Avellino’s wide players, it stretches a back three that already struggles when defending the width and back post. The central duel between Dagasso/Squizzato and Sounas/Kumi will dictate transitions; Avellino must slow the game to prevent Pescara’s late surges.</p> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>Despite Avellino’s higher table position, the market leans their way in 1x2, a stance that looks aggressive given injuries and venue splits. The smarter angles sit in the totals and second-half markets. Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 is buoyed by Pescara’s extreme over profile. The standout is the second-half prism: Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half at 2.20 aligns with both sides’ timing splits, and Pescara to score in the second half is priced appealingly at 1.92.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Antonio Di Nardo is in stride and attacks the six-yard line decisively; he’s the likeliest home scorer. Lorenzo Meazzi’s value lies in his timing and home split — three goals at home, late runs into the box, and a fixture where Avellino’s right side may be pinned back. For Avellino, Crespi’s hold-up play and Russo’s directness offer flashes, but they’ll need quality supply from Sounas to unlock Pescara’s back line.</p> <h3>Projected Flow</h3> <p>Expect a lean first half with probing and a few Pescara half-chances, then a tempo rise after the hour. Avellino’s shape should hold early but creak later, especially if chasing. The hosts’ late-game metrics and equalizing rate suggest they’ll finish stronger again on a quick Adriatic surface.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Pescara 2-1 Avellino. The second half swings it — Pescara to score late and tilt the result their way.</p> </body> </html>
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