Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella
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<html> <head> <title>Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella: Serie B Betting Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella: Home surge meets away slump</h2> <p>Stadio Luigi Ferraris hosts a key relegation-zone six-pointer on January 16, with 16th-placed Sampdoria welcoming 15th-placed Virtus Entella. The betting markets marginally favor the Blucerchiati around evens (2.00), and there’s substance behind that stance: Sampdoria have stitched together three consecutive home wins and are trending up in the last eight matches, while Entella’s travel sickness remains severe.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Sampdoria enter off a narrow 2-1 defeat at Avellino, but their home form has stabilized under Angelo Gregucci. Wins over Reggiana (2-1) and tight 1-0s in November/December revealed improved game management, especially late on. Across the last eight league matches their points per game has improved by 40% compared to season baseline.</p> <p>Entella snapped a seven-match winless run with a late 1-0 win over Monza on January 10 (Andrea Franzoni’s penalty). However, their away form is the elephant in the room: 0-2-7 on the road with 0.22 points per game, 0.56 goals scored, and 2.00 conceded. They’ve failed to score in 56% of away trips and have lost 78% of them.</p> <h3>Tactics and Matchups</h3> <p>Gregucci’s Samp are a classic late-tilt side at home: 75% of their home goals arrive after half-time and they’re especially productive from 76–90 minutes. Virtus Entella, coached by Andrea Chiappella, fade alarmingly after the interval away from home, conceding 13 of 18 away goals in second halves. The tactical picture points toward a cagey, low-event first half, then Samp’s pressure telling later.</p> <p>Set pieces will be a subplot. Entella’s top scorer is center-back Andrea Tiritiello (six goals), a testament to dead-ball danger. Samp’s weak window historically is 31–45 minutes, so discipline around their own box before half-time is vital. Conversely, Massimo Coda (nine goals, four penalties) remains Samp’s talisman, with Liam Henderson and Fabio Depaoli providing supply from midfield and the right flank. If Coda gets service between the lines or from the spot, he’s well positioned to decide the contest.</p> <h3>Key Numbers</h3> <ul> <li>Sampdoria home: 1.56 PPG; three straight wins; GA 1.11</li> <li>Entella away: 0.22 PPG; 0-2-7; 56% fail to score</li> <li>Half-time draws: Samp home 67%, Entella away 56%</li> <li>Second-half tilt: Samp 75% of home goals after HT; Entella 72% of away goals conceded after HT</li> </ul> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <p>The home win at 2.00 looks a fair price, with The Oracle’s fair line closer to 1.75–1.85 given Entella’s away profile. The standout value, however, is the Half-Time Draw at 2.00: both teams’ HT draw rates point to a probability around 60%, comfortably above the 50% implied by the odds.</p> <p>The second-half market supports the style clash: Samp to win the second half at 2.40 benefits from their late surges and Entella’s fragility post-interval. For those seeking a bolder angle, Draw/Home in HT/FT at 4.75 maps to a very plausible game script of early stalemate, late home push.</p> <h3>Player to Watch</h3> <p>Massimo Coda heads the anytime scorer market around 2.20. With nearly half of Samp’s league goals and penalty duties, he’s positioned against an away defense conceding 2.00 per road match and fatiguing late—exactly when Coda thrives.</p> <h3>Weather and Conditions</h3> <p>Genoa should be mild (circa 9°C) with a light northeast breeze—no significant impact anticipated. The Ferraris pitch and atmosphere tend to favor committed second-half surges, which aligns with Samp’s pattern.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>All roads point to a tight first half that opens up for the hosts after the break. The Oracle’s card is built around HT Draw, Home ML, and a second-half lean to Samp—sprinkled with Coda anytime and a speculative angle on Entella failing to score.</p> </body> </html>
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