Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese: Data-Led Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese (Serie C – Girone A)</h2> <p>Date: 12 September 2025 | Venue: Ospitaletto</p> <h3>Form Snapshot</h3> <p>Ospitaletto are three games into the campaign and still chasing their first win (L-D-D). Their home opener produced a creditable 0–0 against a strong Vicenza, hinting at better defensive shape but also highlighting a blunt attack. Pergolettese arrive with momentum—two straight wins after an opening loss—and currently sit in the top five for both the standings and form table.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Timing</h3> <ul> <li>First-half vs second-half: Ospitaletto score late (average 68’) and have yet to score in a first half. Pergolettese do much of their damage early, with two first-half strikes in their only away game—yet still found a late winner (88’) to seal it.</li> <li>Game state: Ospitaletto have never scored first this season and spend 41% of match time trailing. Pergolettese are comfortable flipping deficits; away from home they boast a 100% equalising rate and a 3.00 PPG when conceding first.</li> </ul> <h3>Venue Factors</h3> <p>Ospitaletto’s early home sample (0–0) points to sturdiness, but wider indicators suggest regression: their overall goals conceded per game is 1.00 and they’ve conceded first in two of three. Pergolettese’s away profile is high-variance yet positive—scoring three and conceding two in their lone road outing. That combination makes Perg a dangerous visitor, even against a compact home block.</p> <h3>Players and Roles</h3> <p>For Pergolettese, Sean Parker has two in his last two matches and is part of a distributed scoring cast that includes Careccia, Tremolada, Bane, and Dore. That spread reduces reliance on any single forward. Ospitaletto’s recent goals have come from midfield/secondary sources (Guarneri and Gualandris), while local chatter continues to push striker Marco Bianchi and keeper Luca Greco as key men—Bianchi for spark, Greco for stability.</p> <h3>Key Metrics vs League</h3> <ul> <li>Pergolettese PPG: 2.00 (away 3.00) vs league 1.33 (away 1.07).</li> <li>Ospitaletto PPG: 0.67, goals scored per game 0.67 vs league 1.41.</li> <li>BTTS: Both sides sit at 67% overall; Perg away BTTS 100% so far.</li> </ul> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>Pricing suggests a near-coin flip on the 1X2 with a slight lean to Perg, but the more telling edge lies in anti-Ospitaletto positions: Perg not to lose (Double Chance) at 1.42 aligns with Osp’s zero “scored first” record and Perg’s exceptional equalising/PPG when conceding first. The draw-no-bet at 1.80 adds upside with a fair cushion in a small-sample setting.</p> <p>“Win either half – Pergolettese” at 1.83 is an appealing angle given their 67% rate of leading at half-time and Ospitaletto’s tendency to be behind at the interval. BTTS at 1.85 is a modest-value lean—Perg’s defense has yet to post a clean sheet while Osp’s late-goal behavior keeps them live beyond the hour mark.</p> <h3>Context and Caution</h3> <p>It is still early in the season, and venue splits are noisy with just one home/away sample each for these sides. One media note incorrectly had Perg losing 3–1 to Cittadella; the match data confirms Perg won 3–1. Treat official logs as definitive and avoid over-weighting stray reports.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>A tight, competitive match with Pergolettese’s greater attacking depth and comeback capability edging the probabilities. Ospitaletto’s improved home structure may limit the damage, but Perg’s propensity to win halves and create in multiple phases tips the scales. Best bet: Perg not to lose; bold angle: 1–2 correct score.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights