Sevilla vs Elche
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<html> <head><title>Sevilla vs Elche: Odds, Form, and Value Picks</title></head> <body> <h2>Sevilla vs Elche: Injury-hit hosts face compact, unbeaten visitors</h2> <p>Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán hosts an intriguing early-season clash on Friday night as Sevilla look to shake off a stuttering start against an Elche side riding an unbeaten run. Warm, dry conditions should encourage a good tempo and late legs.</p> <h3>Team News</h3> <p>Sevilla’s availability is the headline. The hosts are without Adnan Januzaj, Akor Adams, Chidera Ejuke, Djibril Sow, Joan Jordán and Tanguy Nianzou (per latest updates). That trims their attacking rotation and central options. Elche report only Yago Santiago out, leaving their preferred back line and front three intact.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Sevilla have opened 1-0-2 (12th), losing at home to Getafe and at Athletic, but winning impressively at Girona. The pattern remains familiar: capable of spells of fluent football, but vulnerable when falling behind. Elche (7th) are 1-2-0, drawing with Betis, drawing at Atlético Madrid, then beating Levante—cohesive, compact, and confident.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>With injuries up front, Sevilla are likely to lean on Dodi Lukebakio’s ball-carrying and Isaac Romero’s movement. Lucien Agoumé and Nemanja Gudelj anchor midfield with Juanlu providing width. Expect Sevilla to attack down the right through Carmona/Juanlu overlaps, with Lukebakio drifting inside to combine.</p> <p>Elche are structured around a solid spine—Dituro in goal, Affengruber-Bigas at centre-back—and direct threat via Rafa Mir. Valera and Álvaro Rodríguez stretch wide and attack the box from the far post. The visitors’ equalizing rate has been excellent; they are comfortable absorbing pressure and striking in transition, especially after the break.</p> <h3>Key Players</h3> <ul> <li>Dodi Lukebakio (Sevilla): 1 goal and 9 key passes in just two appearances—Sevilla’s clearest creative outlet.</li> <li>Isaac Romero (Sevilla): Scored at Girona; will carry more responsibility with Adams out.</li> <li>Rafa Mir (Elche): 2 goals, 50% of Elche’s tally; mobile No.9 who can run channels and finish crosses.</li> <li>Pedro Bigas & David Affengruber (Elche): Composed distribution and strong duels underpin Elche’s 0.67 GA per game.</li> <li>Matías Dituro (Elche): Reliable shot-stopper (9 saves), commanding in the air.</li> </ul> <h3>Patterns That Matter</h3> <p>Both teams concentrate production after half-time: Sevilla have 60% of their goals post-interval; Elche 75% with zero second-half goals conceded so far. Venue splits tilt toward BTTS: Sevilla’s only home game ended 1-2 (BTTS), and Elche’s only away game finished 1-1. Another repeated trend: Elche concede first but hit back (equalizing rate 100%).</p> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <p>Market leans to Sevilla (2.15 ML), but injuries and Elche’s unbeaten start make the <strong>Draw/Away double chance at 1.68</strong> compelling. The BTTS price <strong>2.00</strong> looks generous given both clubs have scored in 67% of combined fixtures and neither has failed to net yet. With both sides’ goal bias after the interval, <strong>Second Half highest scoring at 2.10</strong> is a worthwhile angle. On props, <strong>Rafa Mir anytime at 3.75</strong> brings attractive value for Elche’s focal finisher against a Sevilla side conceding 2.0 at home.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Sevilla’s injuries constrain their ceiling, while Elche’s structure and set-piece threat travel well. Expect swings in the second half. The draw is very live; Elche avoiding defeat is the safer side. </p> <p><strong>Lean:</strong> 1-1 or 1-2 if Elche take their chances late.</p> </body> </html>
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