AD Ceuta FC vs Huesca

<div> <h2>Ceuta vs Huesca: Can the Newcomers Stem the Tide?</h2> <p>Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube hosts a fascinating early-season Segunda División contrast on September 7: a Ceuta side still acclimatising to the division versus a well-drilled Huesca outfit sitting in the playoff spots. With both clubs reporting no major injury doubts and warm, quick playing conditions expected, the game pivots on whether Ceuta can disrupt Huesca’s early rhythm.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Ceuta’s baptism at this level has been harsh. Three defeats from three, just one goal scored (a penalty) and eight conceded tell a story of adjustment pains. By contrast, Huesca arrive unbeaten (W2 D1), fresh off a late 2-1 win over Eibar courtesy of Sergi Enrich’s 90th-minute strike. The standings reflect the split: Huesca sixth, Ceuta 22nd.</p> <p>Rest days favor both sides adequately (Ceuta last played Aug 30, Huesca Sept 1). Huesca’s confidence is evident in supporter sentiment, while Ceuta’s faithful are realistic about the step up in quality.</p> <h3>Tactical Picture</h3> <p>Ceuta have mostly looked like a 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 hybrid, with Bodiger and Youness Didi asked to stabilize the middle. The full-backs (Almenara and Matos) are busy defensively, and there’s heavy responsibility on Kuki and the forward line (Juanto, Vallejo, Aghama) to create from limited phases. The red card shown to Anuar recently is worth monitoring for availability.</p> <p>Huesca’s spine is settled. Dani Jiménez provides stability in goal; Pulido marshals the back line alongside Piña or the energetic Á. Carrillo. In midfield, Óscar Sielva and Iker Kortajarena have been central to chance creation (combined three assists/key-pass leadership), while Liberto offers width. Up front, Enrich’s movement and timing have produced two crucial goals already; Dani Ojeda adds pace and penetration off the bench.</p> <h3>Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Ceuta have trailed for 87% of their minutes (96% at home), conceding first in 100% of matches.</li> <li>Huesca away: 3.00 points per game, 100% clean sheet, 100% scored first, 72% of time leading.</li> <li>Goal timing: Ceuta’s average first concession is minute 12 overall (minute 4 at home); Huesca’s average first goal away is minute 25.</li> <li>BTTS profile: Ceuta BTTS 33% (home 0%); Huesca away BTTS 0%.</li> </ul> <h3>How It Plays Out</h3> <p>Early control should belong to Huesca. Their pattern—solid defensive structure, early scoreboard pressure, and late-game managing—matches Ceuta’s vulnerability to conceding first. Expect Huesca to probe down the flanks to drag Ceuta’s centre-backs out and then target Enrich in the box. Sielva’s set-piece quality and Kortajarena’s line-breaking carries are key levers.</p> <p>For Ceuta, the route to parity involves slowing the game’s tempo, winning second balls in midfield, and exploiting any transitional moments, possibly through Aghama’s direct dribbling. If they can reach half-time level (a hurdle they’ve yet to clear this season), nerves could creep into Huesca’s game; but the evidence points to an away side comfortable defending a lead.</p> <h3>Markets and Pricing</h3> <p>Markets shading Huesca as only a 2.70 away ML understate the venue split. The Asian +0 (1.91) protects against a stalemate and aligns with Huesca’s away discipline. Low-scoring angles carry weight: Under 2.5 is short, but BTTS No at 1.70 and Huesca clean sheet at 2.62 offer better risk-reward. Given both teams’ only venue-specific results are 0-1 in this exact configuration, the 0-1 correct score at 5.75 is a reasonable flyer.</p> <h3>Key Duel</h3> <p>Carlos Hernández vs Sergi Enrich. Hernández is experienced but will need help tracking Enrich’s near-post darts and late-arriving headers. If Huesca win the wide delivery battle, Enrich becomes decisive again.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Huesca’s structure and situational superiority—particularly scoring first and defending leads—point to a controlled away result. With Ceuta still searching for their first open-play goal and often chasing from behind, the away DNB and BTTS No are supported by both the numbers and the matchup.</p> </div>