Mirandes vs Deportivo La Coruna
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<html> <head><title>Mirandés vs Deportivo La Coruña – Segunda División Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form, Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Estadio Municipal de Anduva hosts a fascinating Round 5 clash between a Mirandés side still finding its feet at home and unbeaten newcomers Deportivo La Coruña. Deportivo sit 4th (8 pts), Mirandés 10th (6 pts), and while early-season table positions are notoriously noisy, the underlying patterns are already revealing: Depor’s away matches are wide open and goal-rich, while Mirandés have been far better on the road than in Miranda de Ebro.</p> <h2>Injuries and Selection</h2> <p>Mirandés are without Alberto Marí, Hugo Novoa and Pablo Pérez (thigh), forcing coach Fran Justo into more reshuffling after a summer of change. There’s been churn in the back line and Iker Córdoba’s red card recently hasn’t helped continuity. Expect a back four built around Medrano and Juan Gutiérrez with Martín Pascual or Adrián Pica, plus youthful energy further forward via Gonzalo Petit and Carlos Fernández, who have combined for four goals already.</p> <p>Deportivo report José Ángel sidelined with a muscle issue, otherwise no fresh major absences. Germán Parreño should continue in goal behind Loureiro–Barcia–Comas–Escudero, with a midfield axis including Gragera and Villares. Creativity funnels through Mario Soriano and Yeremay Hernández (Peke), with Zakaria Eddahchouri or Samuele Mulattieri leading the line. Yeremay’s 12 shots (7 on target) and penalty conversion at Leganés mark him as a key danger man.</p> <h2>Tactical Themes</h2> <p>Mirandés are aggressive in transition and have produced most of their goals late—83% after the interval—helped by emerging forwards Petit and Fernández. That late push could be vital at Anduva, where they’ve yet to score this season. Deportivo, under pressure to consolidate after promotion, mix controlled possession with snappy wide play; their equalizing rate (100%) and lead-defending rate (100%) suggest strong game management and belief—even after setbacks.</p> <h2>Numbers that Matter</h2> <ul> <li>Venue split: Mirandés home PPG 0.00 (FTS 100% at home), Deportivo away PPG 2.00.</li> <li>Goals environment: Deportivo away matches average 4.00 goals (W 3-1 Granada, D 2-2 Leganés)—both BTTS and Over 2.5 hit in each.</li> <li>Timing bias: 83% of both teams’ goals arrive in the second half; 76–90 minutes show pronounced spikes (Depor GF 3, Mirandés GF 2, both GA 0).</li> <li>Resilience: Deportivo equalizing rate 100% and LDR 100%—they recover well and protect leads.</li> </ul> <h2>Head-to-Head and Psychology</h2> <p>Recent history tilts towards Mirandés: Deportivo are winless in the last eight head-to-head meetings. That’s a real mental hurdle and argues for caution on the away money line despite current form. A draw or away outcome (double chance) is therefore the pragmatic approach, aligning historic friction with present performance.</p> <h2>Key Matchups</h2> <p><strong>Medrano vs Yeremay Hernández:</strong> Mirandés’ full-back must manage Yeremay’s constant dribbling and shot output. Hints of set-piece threat from Depor also emanate from Barcia and Escudero.</p> <p><strong>Petit / Fernández vs Depor centre-backs:</strong> Youthful movement against Barcia–Comas could open late, especially if Mirandés trail and chase the game. Depor’s shape has held, but their away GA (1.5) shows openings.</p> <h2>Betting Outlook</h2> <p>The market slightly favors Deportivo (2.35 ML) but the sharper angles align with risk-adjusted positions: Draw/Deportivo double chance, 2H-focused goal bets, and skews such as Team to Score Last (Away). Totals lean over due to Deportivo’s away profile, and BTTS sits attractively at evens given Mirandés’ consistent concessions and expected defensive reshuffle.</p> <h2>Verdict</h2> <p>Expect a tight first hour with increasing chaos late. Deportivo’s reliability in the late phases and Mirandés’ own second-half surge point to a game shaped after half-time. The safest lean is Draw/Away, with upside on BTTS and Over 2.5 if Mirandés finally unlock a home goal.</p> </body> </html>
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