Cordoba vs Eibar
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<html> <head><title>Córdoba vs Eibar: Odds, Form and Tactical Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Córdoba v Eibar – Form, Numbers, and Where the Value Lies</h2> <p>Córdoba welcome Eibar to the Nuevo Arcángel with very different venue profiles. Córdoba have been solidly midtable and better at home than away, while Eibar’s season has been split dramatically: competitive in Ipurua, but desperately poor on their travels.</p> <h3>The Stakes</h3> <p>Córdoba (12th, 22 pts) seek to end a five-match winless run and keep in touch with the top half. Eibar (20th, 17 pts) are sliding, with three straight defeats and just two points from eight away matches. The travel crisis is the dominant theme.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics</h3> <ul> <li>Córdoba home: 1.38 PPG, 1.38 GF, 1.50 GA; failed to score 0%; BTTS 75%; Over 2.5 62%.</li> <li>Eibar away: 0.25 PPG (0W-2D-6L), 0.63 GF, 2.00 GA; clean sheets 0%; failed to score 38%.</li> <li>Game-state edges: Córdoba defend leads perfectly at home (lead-defending 100%), Eibar away defend leads at 0%.</li> </ul> <h3>Form & Momentum</h3> <p>Córdoba’s last eight matches show a mild uptick in attack (GF +11%) and a slight improvement in defense (GA -3%), even as results stagnate. Eibar’s last eight are a red flag: 0.63 PPG and 2.13 GA, a 51% deterioration versus their seasonal average. They were thrashed 4-0 at Racing and have just been beaten 1-2 at home by Leonesa.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-ups</h3> <p>Expect Córdoba to press on with a 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 hybrid: Isma Ruiz and Dani Requena can control rhythm, while Cristian Carracedo and Jacobo provide width and chance creation for Adrián Fuentes. Eibar’s 4-2-3-1 leans on Sergio Álvarez’s ball-winning and Aleix Garrido’s distribution, with José Corpas and Jon Magunazelaia supporting Javi Martón up top. Eibar’s away vulnerability on transitions and set pieces is an issue; paradoxically, their most consistent scoring threat has been centre-back Anaitz Arbilla from dead balls.</p> <h3>Goal Timing: Late-Game Bias</h3> <ul> <li>Córdoba: 62% of goals scored and 68% conceded after halftime.</li> <li>Eibar: 67% of goals scored in second halves; away they concede heavily 31-45 and 76-90.</li> </ul> <p>This tilt sets up in-play angles: more tempo and chances after the break, with Eibar’s defensive concentration dropping late.</p> <h3>Key Battles & Players</h3> <ul> <li>Adrián Fuentes (Córdoba): 7 league goals, the reference point for crosses and cut-backs. Against an away defense averaging 2.00 GA, he’s live.</li> <li>Cristian Carracedo (Córdoba): 4 assists, 26 key passes, 35 successful dribbles – a primary chance creator versus fullbacks under stress.</li> <li>Javi Martón (Eibar): 5 goals; if Eibar score, he’s the likeliest outlet, especially in broken-field moments.</li> <li>Anaitz Arbilla (Eibar): 3 goals; set-piece danger that Córdoba must mark aggressively.</li> </ul> <h3>Best Bets & Value</h3> <p>The smartest way to back the hosts is Córdoba Draw No Bet (Asian 0). Segunda matches can be draw-heavy; returning the stake on a stalemate is prudent, especially given Córdoba’s recent winless run. But Eibar’s away data is damning: 0 wins, 75% losses, 0% clean sheets, 2.00 GA.</p> <p>Totals lean over: Córdoba at home produce goals (62% Over 2.5), and Eibar’s away matches often reach that threshold (50%). The second half should be the higher-scoring period given both sides’ splits. BTTS is supported by Córdoba’s 0% home FTS and Eibar’s 62% BTTS away, though Eibar’s 38% away FTS does add volatility.</p> <h3>Predicted Pattern</h3> <p>Córdoba to create more territory and shots, especially down the right via Carracedo, with Fuentes the focal point. Eibar’s best chances arrive after turnovers and at set pieces. Expect a tighter first half and a more open second half as game state bites. A 2-1 or 2-0 home result fits the data, with late insurance more likely than an early knockout.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>The Oracle projects Córdoba to avoid defeat with a strong probability of taking all three points. Attacking metrics and venue splits point to goals, particularly after the interval.</p> <p><strong>Best bet:</strong> Córdoba 0 (DNB). <strong>Secondary:</strong> Over 2.5; Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half; BTTS Yes; Córdoba over 1.5 team goals.</p> </body> </html>
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