Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna
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<html> <head><title>Almería vs Deportivo – Segunda División Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Form, Firepower and a Second-Half Surge</h2> <p>Two promotion aspirants collide in Almería with both sides hovering just beneath the automatic places. Almería’s home form (2.00 points per game) and attacking output (2.30 goals scored per home game) have been the backbone of their push, while Deportivo bring one of the division’s best away resumes (1.64 ppg away, 1.82 goals scored) to the Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos.</p> <h3>Team News and Predicted Shapes</h3> <p>Almería are managing key absences in the defensive spine: Juan Brandariz, Dion Lopy and Federico Bonini are all listed as doubtful, weakening their midfield screening and back line. Expect a 4-2-3-1 with Andrés Fernández behind a back four of Chirino, Nelson Monte, Álex Muñoz and Álex Centelles; Iddrisu Baba and Stefan Dzodic anchoring midfield; and a high-creation trio of Arnau Puigmal, Sergio Arribas and Adrián Embarba supporting Thalys.</p> <p>Deportivo’s backline has its own concerns, with Ximo Navarro out and Daniel Bachmann sidelined. Miguel Loureiro should continue on the right, with Dani Barcia and Giacomo Quagliata prominent. The visitors can alternate between 4-4-2 and a flexible 4-2-3-1: Yeremay Hernández and David Mella provide pace and dribbling menace from wide areas, with Zakaria Eddahchouri’s movement a key threat in transition. Germán Parreño should start in goal.</p> <h3>Key Tactical Battlegrounds</h3> <ul> <li>Flanks vs Fullbacks: Yeremay and Mella against Centelles and Muñoz is a genuine speed/1v1 test. Almería’s fullbacks push high, creating space to attack in behind.</li> <li>Set-Piece Pressure: Both sides boast strong delivery – Embarba’s dead balls and Depor’s aerial targets (Barcia, Eddahchouri) could be decisive.</li> <li>Game State Management: Depor score first away 73% of the time but defend leads at only 56%. Almería equalize at home 71% when trailing. Expect swings.</li> </ul> <h3>Why Goals Should Flow</h3> <p>This matchup screams output. Almería’s home games average 3.80 total goals, with 80% clearing the over 2.5 line. Deportivo’s away fixtures sit at 3.00 goals per game, and both clubs produce more after the interval: Almería’s second-half accounts for 61% of their home goals scored and an outsized 73% conceded, while Depor score 65% of their away goals after halftime.</p> <p>The home side’s defensive absences further bias the contest towards BTTS and over lines. Yet Almería retain superior chance creation at home, led by Arribas (11 league goals) and Embarba (9), with Arribas on penalties. That edge underpins the home team total over 1.5.</p> <h3>Recent Form and Psychology</h3> <p>Depor arrive winless in five but with credible draws against Cadiz (2-2) and Las Palmas (1-1). Their underlying away metrics remain solid. Almería are unbeaten in two and still carry a significant home scoring profile, even as their last-eight defensive numbers have softened.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Outlook</h3> <p>The Oracle expects an open contest, driven by adventurous fullbacks, high-quality wide attackers and erratic game-state management. Goals after the break are a consistent trend for both sides, so a cagier first half can still transform into a lively finish. Arribas’ form and penalty responsibility make him the standout player prop in a game tilted toward BTTS and over 2.5.</p> <h3>Odds Snapshot</h3> <ul> <li>Over 2.5 goals (1.70): market underrates Almería’s high-total home profile.</li> <li>BTTS – Yes (1.57): aligns with both clubs’ elevated BTTS splits.</li> <li>Second Half Over 1.5 (2.00): fits consistent late-goal patterns.</li> <li>Almería Over 1.5 team goals (1.85): home average 2.30 GF supports it.</li> <li>Arribas anytime (2.62): 11G, PKs, primary finisher at home.</li> </ul> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Almería 2-1 Deportivo, with the second half providing the decisive moments.</p> </body> </html>
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