Alhama vs Granad. Tenerife W
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<html> <head><title>Alhama vs UDG Tenerife W – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Alhama vs UDG Tenerife W: Tight, Tactical, and Early-Season Edges</h2> <p>The Spain Primera División Femenina pits Alhama against UDG Tenerife W in Alhama de Murcia on September 21, 2025. With both teams still bedding in after the summer, the smartest angles come from defensive solidity and game-state trends rather than headline attacking talent.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Alhama remain winless after three league matches (D2, L1), a run that echoes concerns from last season. Their draw at home to Granada (1-1) was hard-fought, but a bruising 0-8 away loss to Barcelona and a 0-0 away at Levante underline volatile early results.</p> <p>UDG Tenerife, by contrast, are unbeaten in three (W1, D2) and have yet to concede. The 4-0 away statement at Sevilla was sandwiched by goalless draws away to Athletic Club and at home to Espanyol. The takeaway: a robust structure and controlled tempo, if not yet fully fluent in attack after summer changes.</p> <h3>Tactical Picture</h3> <p>Expect Alhama to set up pragmatically, compact between the lines, and look to spring on transitions. Their only home goal so far came early (6’), but they failed to protect that lead. Tenerife are composed and well-drilled, happy to keep games level through the first half and turn the screw later. Their scoring map shows a strong second-half bias (75% of their goals), which dovetails with Alhama’s tendency to concede after the break at home.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Clean Sheets: Tenerife 100% CS (3/3) vs league average ~41%.</li> <li>Totals: Tenerife matches average 1.33 total goals; 67% under 2.5.</li> <li>Alhama attack: 0.33 goals per game; failed to score in 67% overall.</li> <li>Game State: Tenerife time trailing 0%; Alhama lead defending rate 0%.</li> </ul> <h3>Where the Value Lies</h3> <p>Three factors converge for unders: Tenerife’s spotless defensive record, Alhama’s below-average attack, and a pace profile that favors a cautious first half. Market lines still offer reasonable prices on low totals. Under 2.25 at 1.82 combines value with push protection, given two of Alhama’s non-Barcelona matches finished with 0 or 2 goals.</p> <p>BTTS No at 1.80 aligns with Tenerife’s 0% BTTS rate and three straight clean sheets. The risk is Tenerife’s own low conversion in two of three; paradoxically that helps this market—if either side blanks, the ticket cashes.</p> <p>For side bettors, Tenerife Draw No Bet at 1.55 provides coverage against a stalemate while leveraging their away resilience (2.00 PPG, 0.00 GA). Alhama’s inability to see out leads (lead-defending 0%) and higher trailing time are telling.</p> <h3>First vs Second Half Dynamics</h3> <p>With Tenerife producing 75% of their goals after the interval and often drawing at half-time, “Second Half to be the highest scoring” at 2.04 is a compelling price. It fits both teams’ profiles: Alhama conceded at home only after the break; Tenerife’s pressure increases late.</p> <h3>Longshot Corner</h3> <p>Given Tenerife’s early-season profile includes two 0-0 finals out of three, the 0-0 correct score at 8.00 is a sensible small-stake flier. It’s not the base case, but the price respects the defensive data and Alhama’s finishing struggles.</p> <h3>Team News and Conditions</h3> <p>No major injuries are reported in pre-match coverage, and the forecast is ideal (around 28°C, light winds). With both sides near full strength and early-season points at a premium, expect a disciplined, low-error encounter.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>All roads point toward a low-scoring match defined by Tenerife’s structure and Alhama’s need to protect their box. The smart core position is Under 2.25 goals, supplemented by BTTS No. Side bettors can lean Tenerife DNB for cover, and there’s a plausible narrative for a stronger second half. For the adventurous, 0-0 has price-led appeal.</p> </body> </html>
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