Edf Logrono W vs Alhama
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<html> <head><title>DUX Logroño W vs Alhama W – Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>DUX Logroño W vs Alhama W: Cagey Six-Pointer in La Rioja</h2> <p>Two sides searching for their first win collide in Logroño, with both DUX Logroño and Alhama entering the weekend on two points from four matches. It’s early days in Liga F, but this already feels like a directional game between close rivals with similar ambitions.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Logroño’s start has been tougher on paper than on the table. A spirited 2-2 home draw with Real Madrid and a narrow 0-1 defeat to Real Sociedad via a 90th-minute penalty suggest competitive levels at home. Their late clean-sheet away draw last time out stabilised things after the predictable 0-4 at Barcelona.</p> <p>Alhama’s arc is even more polarized: a chastening 0-8 away at Barcelona, followed by a credible 0-0 away at Levante and a 1-1 home draw with Granada, before losing 0-4 to Tenerife. The off-season brought defensive reinforcements, but cohesion is still a work in progress.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Game-State Patterns</h3> <p>Expect caution early. Logroño have drawn three of four first halves this season and both at home. Alhama have split their away first halves between a 0-0 and a heavy deficit. Both teams are goal-shy: Logroño average 0.50 GF per game, Alhama a mere 0.25. That points to a tight contest in which one goal might swing it.</p> <p>Second-half dynamics are notable. Alhama have conceded 62% of their goals after the break, including three in the 76-90’ window; Logroño have produced late thrusts at home (77’ goal vs Real Madrid). If the game is level at halftime, the weight of late numbers leans the second half toward the hosts.</p> <h3>Key Metrics vs League Benchmarks</h3> <ul> <li>Scoring: Both below league average GF (Logroño 0.50 vs 1.38; Alhama 0.25 vs 1.38).</li> <li>Defending: Alhama’s GA is an outlier (3.25 vs 1.38 league), inflated by Barça but still concerning (0-4 vs Tenerife).</li> <li>Away struggles: Alhama have 0 goals in two away matches and have failed to score in 100% of away trips.</li> </ul> <h3>Players and Lineups</h3> <p>Logroño’s recruitment focused on midfield creativity and an experienced forward. Isina’s strike against Real Madrid showcased a willingness to run beyond and threaten late. With no significant injuries reported and a settled XI, expect consistency in selection. For Alhama, the new defensive core needs time; the lone goal so far came from Mariana Díaz at home. Away, their attack is yet to register.</p> <h3>Match Rhythm: What To Watch</h3> <p>Logroño have been sturdy in first halves at home, keeping games controlled and level. If they manage risk early, the match could stretch in the second half where Alhama’s structure has faltered. Transition moments down the flanks and set-pieces may decide it, with Logroño likely to push for a narrow margin rather than a shootout.</p> <h3>Odds, Value, and Best Bets</h3> <p>Market prices favor a low-scoring, home-leaning outcome without overcommitting. The standout is Logroño Draw No Bet (1.75), which covers home edge but protects against stalemate. Under 2.5 (1.80) aligns with both teams’ low GF and Alhama’s away FTS. A First Half Draw (2.20) is supported by Logroño’s 100% home HT draw rate. For a bolder angle, Logroño to win the second half (2.52) leverages Alhama’s late concession profile.</p> <p>Exact score hunters can consider 1-0 Logroño (8.00), a result consistent with Under 2.5 and BTTS No dynamics.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>This sets up as a pragmatic, low-event contest. The data leans to Logroño avoiding defeat and potentially nicking it after halftime. Unders are supported, and a late home tilt is plausible if the tactical balance holds.</p> </body> </html>
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