Perez Zeledon vs CS Cartagines
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<html> <head> <title>Perez Zeledon vs CS Cartagines - Match Preview and Betting Analysis</title> <meta name="description" content="Perez Zeledon host CS Cartagines in Costa Rica's Primera División Apertura. The Oracle breaks down form, tactics, odds and top value bets."> </head> <body> <h2>Perez Zeledon vs CS Cartagines: Defensive Steel Meets Home Volatility</h2> <h3>Context and Stakes</h3> <p>Perez Zeledon welcome CS Cartagines in a matchup with top-four implications. Cartagines sit ahead in the table (24 pts) and carry the stronger season-long defensive profile, while Zeledon (20 pts) lean on a decent home return but arrive with mixed momentum and recent home frustrations. With no major injuries or suspensions reported, both managers are expected to roll out familiar XIs in San Isidro in mild evening conditions.</p> <h3>Form Snapshot</h3> <ul> <li>Zeledon last 8: 0.88 PPG, 1.00 GF, 1.63 GA; one win from eight, winless in four at home (sentiment).</li> <li>Cartagines last 8: 1.25 PPG; defensive levels normalized to 1.00 GA but still very competitive.</li> <li>Last head-to-head (Sep): 1-1, reflecting a cautious balance.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical Matchups</h3> <p>Zeledon’s home football tends to be proactive, reflected by 1.57 GF and a high BTTS rate (71%). However, they struggle to protect leads (overall lead-defending 45%), a vulnerability Cartagines can exploit with their disciplined shape and late-phase production. Cartagines’ away profile is striking: 0.75 GF, 0.75 GA and 50% clean sheets. Their matches on the road are controlled and low-event, killing space in midfield and compressing the half-spaces out of possession.</p> <h3>Goal Timing: Expect the Game to Open Late</h3> <p>Cartagines do most of their damage after the interval—83% of away goals arrive in the second half—while Zeledon concede heavily late (six goals allowed 76–90). This blend supports a wary first half with the contest stretching as substitutions land. It also squares with the recent 0-0 draw Cartagines earned at Alajuelense, a showcase of patience and structure.</p> <h3>Situational Edges</h3> <ul> <li>Cartagines lead-defending rate 67% vs Zeledon 45%—game-state management edge to the visitors.</li> <li>Zeledon’s PPG when conceding first is 0.71; Cartagines away PPG when conceding first is 0.00—first goal importance is real.</li> <li>Half-time drawing patterns are strong for Cartagines away (62%), hinting at a cagey opening 45.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds and Value View</h3> <p>The totals market tilts correctly towards the Under but still leaves a sliver of value. Cartagines’ away matches average 1.50 total goals with Over 2.5 hitting just 25%. Even accounting for Zeledon’s more open home profile (Over 2.5 at 57%), the blended probability still favors Under 2.5 slightly more than the market implies at 1.77. The visitors’ DNB at 2.00 is also attractive: Cartagines own better recent form, superior lead protection, and a proven low-variance away style.</p> <h3>Players and Set-Piece Notes</h3> <p>With no key absences expected, Cartagines should again rely on disciplined lines and late-phase forwards such as Marco Ureña and Mauro Quiroga for impact in transition and set plays. For Zeledon, Jorman Aguilar’s knack for late contributions—he scored vs Cartagines in September and struck at 90’ in their comeback at Puntarenas—keeps the 1-1 draw and second-half angles very live.</p> <h3>Best Bets</h3> <ul> <li>Under 2.5 Goals (1.77): Cartagines’ away suppression meets Zeledon’s decline in chance quality over the last eight.</li> <li>Cartagines DNB (2.00): Form and game-management advantage with draw cover.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd (2.10): Visitors’ late scoring profile and Zeledon’s late concessions align.</li> <li>HT Draw (2.00): Strong pattern for Cartagines away HT stalemates.</li> <li>Correct Score 1-1 (5.50): A fair longshot matching the tactical trend and prior H2H.</li> </ul> <h3>The Oracle’s Verdict</h3> <p>Cartagines’ defensive identity should travel. Expect a controlled tempo, limited big chances, and a game that tilts tactical rather than chaotic. The Under 2.5 stands as the smartest anchor, with Cartagines DNB the sensible side. If it breaks, it does so after halftime.</p> </body> </html>
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