Dalvík / Reynir vs Vikingur Olafsiik
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<html> <head> <title>Dalvík/Reynir vs Víkingur Ólafsvík – Data-Led Match Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Dalvík/Reynir host Víkingur Ólafsvík in Iceland’s 2. Deild with both clubs settled in mid-table as the season winds down. Motivation remains professional pride and finishing as high as possible rather than promotion or relegation stakes. Dalvík sit slightly higher and are favored by the market, underpinned by a 3–0 away win in July.</p> <h3>Form and Trajectory</h3> <p>Dalvík have plateaued lately: 1.00 PPG over their last eight, conceding 1.50 per game in that span, up from their season 1.19. Víkingur’s trend is also negative, with 1.13 PPG across the last eight and a worrying 2.25 GA, showing defensive slippage. Recent scorelines accentuate the pattern—Víkingur lost 2–4 to Kari and 2–3 at Grotta, and Dalvík’s home slate has been mixed, including a wild 3–5 vs Víðir.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics</h3> <p>Dalvík at home: 1.40 PPG, 1.60 GF/1.20 GA, and an elite lead-defending rate of 80%. Víkingur away: 1.20 PPG, 1.70 GF/1.50 GA, and a modest 50% lead-defending rate. The venue leans slightly toward the hosts keeping control once they edge in front.</p> <h3>First Half vs Second Half Split</h3> <p>The clearest angle in the data is the match’s phase split. Víkingur away are excellent at avoiding HT deficits (only 10% away games trailed at HT; 40% led, 50% drawn). Dalvík, by contrast, are far more potent late: 57% of their goals come after the break, with a massive 15 goals between 76–90 minutes. Víkingur’s late-game record is a mirror image, conceding 65% of their goals in second halves and 12 in the final quarter-hour. The implication is a tight, possibly away-favoring or level first half that opens up for Dalvík after the interval.</p> <h3>Tactical and Player Notes</h3> <p>Dalvík’s attack is diversified but has reliable late-game contributors—Áki Sölvason has been active in second halves, and Borja López adds set-piece and penalty threat. Tómas Þórðarson’s brace in the reverse fixture underlines Dalvík’s ability to exploit Víkingur’s defensive gaps.</p> <p>Víkingur’s forward line—Tato, Luke Williams, Kwame Quee, and Iván López—ensures an away FTS rate of 0%. They create enough to grab an early or first-half goal, supported by the away HT splits. However, their declining lead-defending and poor 76–90 profile leave them vulnerable to late concession, particularly against a side like Dalvík that specializes in closing punches.</p> <h3>Totals and Scoring Outlook</h3> <p>While Víkingur’s overall season profile leans to higher totals (3.71 per game), Dalvík’s home environment has been more controlled (2.80 per game) with only 20% over 3.5. The compromise is a match that avoids a goal glut but still finds goals—especially after the break. The data supports second-half goals and a realistic scenario where both sides score at some point, albeit the BTTS price is too short relative to Dalvík’s historically lower BTTS rates at home.</p> <h3>Odds, Value and Best Bets</h3> <ul> <li>Second Half Over 1.5 (1.73) – statistically aligned with both teams’ timing profiles.</li> <li>First Half Double Chance Draw/Away (1.41) – Víkingur’s outstanding HT avoidance of deficits provides the edge.</li> <li>Second Half Winner Dalvík (2.20) – late momentum and superior lead-defending at home vs Víkingur’s late fade.</li> <li>Under 3.5 (1.55) – reconciles Dalvík’s home totals with Víkingur’s recent defensive issues without demanding a high-scoring shootout.</li> <li>Correct Score 2–1 (5.80) – a fair longshot consistent with a tight first hour before Dalvík edge it late.</li> </ul> <h3>Final Word</h3> <p>Expect a measured first half with Víkingur competitive early, before Dalvík’s late-game engine takes over. The market’s best value sits in time-sliced angles—back the second half to deliver.</p> <p><em>Gamble responsibly. Prices subject to change.</em></p> </body> </html>
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