Dalian Huayi vs Shenyang Urban

<div> <h2>Dalian Huayi vs Shenyang Urban: Formidable Leaders Visit a Strong Home Side</h2> <p>Jinzhou Stadium hosts one of the weekend’s high-interest China League One fixtures as Dalian Huayi welcome leaders Shenyang Urban. The visitors arrive with an attacking swagger led by Guy Mbenza and Takahiro Kunimoto, while Dalian counter with the firepower of Nyasha Mushekwi and Dominic Vinícius. Excellent playing conditions in Dalian (mild, partly cloudy) should favor a fast, open contest.</p> <h3>Form & Momentum</h3> <p>Shenyang Urban’s season has been outstanding: 50 points in 22 matches, a league-best attack, and an away profile that continues to produce high-event games (3.27 total goals per away match). Even with their 19-match unbeaten run ending last time out, they’ve won 6 of their past 8 and remain on a clear upward trajectory.</p> <p>Dalian Huayi are trending up as well. Their last eight league matches show a 21% improvement in points per game and a near 29% boost in goals scored. At home, they’ve been reliably tough—2.18 PPG and only 0.82 goals conceded on average. A recent rotation and a coach with a defensive reputation suggest a tighter structure, but their matches have still found goals because of their front line.</p> <h3>Key Matchups</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Mbenza vs Dalian’s center-backs:</strong> Mbenza (18 goals) is the division’s focal point, dangerous in transition and in the box. His partnership with Kunimoto (11 assists) gives Shenyang a multidimensional edge.</li> <li><strong>Mushekwi and Vinícius vs Shenyang’s back four:</strong> Mushekwi’s 12 goals in 17 keep Dalian live in any game. If Dalian reach wide areas early, their target play could trouble Shenyang’s mid-block.</li> <li><strong>Midfield supply lines:</strong> Kunimoto and Zang Yifeng (9 goals) offer creativity and late runs. Dalian rely on Cui Ming’an’s 3G/3A to knit transitions; his battle with Shenyang’s double pivot (Ferreira, Tian) will be pivotal.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical Outlook</h3> <p>Shenyang should press high and attack early—their away “scored-first” rate sits at a striking 82%. If they edge in front, their away lead retention (55%) is only average, meaning the game can swing, particularly given Dalian’s unusual strength when conceding first at home (2.17 PPG) and elite equalizing rate (83%).</p> <p>Dalian’s best path is controlling the central lanes and using Mushekwi’s hold-up play to bring runners into the game. They have been stubborn at the back at home but face the league’s most potent traveling attack; expecting a clean sheet for either side is ambitious.</p> <h3>Market View & Value</h3> <p>Numbers point to goals and away initiative. Over 2.5 goals (1.90) is supported by both sides’ trends (Dalian home over 2.5 at 55%, Shenyang away at 64%). Both Teams to Score (1.65) also grades out well given consistent BTTS rates (both at 64% in the relevant venue splits). The most underpriced angle is “Team to Score First – Away” at 1.91 against Shenyang’s 82% away score-first and Dalian’s 27% home score-first. Late-scoring profiles (Dalian 9 goals, Shenyang 10 in minutes 76–90) strengthen the case for “Highest Scoring Half – Second Half” at attractive even-plus money (2.03).</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Shenyang Urban carry the sharper edge in chance creation and shot quality, while Dalian’s home resilience keeps them dangerous. Expect Shenyang to land the first blow, with Dalian capable of replying. A narrow away success with goals on both sides fits the data.</p> <p><strong>Suggested correct score:</strong> Dalian Huayi 1–2 Shenyang Urban.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Guy Mbenza (Shenyang):</strong> Red-hot finisher, excellent movement across the line.</li> <li><strong>Takahiro Kunimoto (Shenyang):</strong> Primary creator; set-piece and final-third craft.</li> <li><strong>Nyasha Mushekwi (Dalian):</strong> Boxes smartly, strong aerial presence, late equalizer threat.</li> <li><strong>Cui Ming’an (Dalian):</strong> The link between lines; vital for ball progression.</li> </ul> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Expect an assertive Shenyang start and a lively second half. Value aligns with away-first-goal, over 2.5, BTTS, and second-half-centric markets. Dalian’s home form ensures a competitive, entertaining game rather than a runaway.</p> </div>