Dalian Huayi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
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<html> <head> <title>Dalian Kuncheng vs Chongqing Tongliang Long – Expert Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Form, Stakes and Storylines</h2> <p>Dalian Kuncheng welcome promotion-chasing Chongqing Tongliang Long in a clash of styles: a tight, well-drilled home side against one of the league’s most explosive travelers. Dalian sit mid-table and have wobbled recently, while Chongqing, third and within touching distance of the top two, arrive off back-to-back wins and with clear motivation to keep pushing.</p> <h3>Home Strength vs Away Firepower</h3> <p>Dalian’s home profile is strong: 1.92 points per game and a stingy 0.92 goals conceded per match. They rarely trail for long at home and boast a stellar 75% equalizing rate, speaking to their resilience and game management when behind.</p> <p>Chongqing on the road is where this match changes complexion: 1.83 points per game, 2.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded, with a league-leading “feel” for wild away games (4.00 total goals per game). Their away lead-defending rate (88%) is elite; if they get their noses in front, they typically control it.</p> <h3>Goal Trends and Timing</h3> <p>The numbers shout goals and, crucially, goals for both sides. At this venue split, Dalian’s home BTTS rate is 69% and Chongqing’s away BTTS is 67%. Chongqing’s away matches tend to ignite early—average first goal timings show they both score and concede sooner than league average—while Dalian’s soft spot is the 46-60 minute window. Layer in Chongqing’s late surge (76-90 minutes) and you have a contest that promises action bracketing half-time.</p> <h3>Tactical Match-Up</h3> <p>Dalian lean on experienced forwards like Nyasha Mushekwi and Dominic Vinicius, thriving on crosses, knockdowns and set pieces. They are adept at clawing their way back into matches, a key counterbalance to Chongqing’s quick-strike approach.</p> <p>For Chongqing, Yuwang Xiang is the main thrust—pace, movement and a ruthless streak—while José Ángel Carrillo supplies penalty-box presence and late-game decisiveness. In transition, Chongqing can pull Dalian’s back line out of shape, especially during the first-half 30-45 burst and late in games.</p> <h3>Form and Variance</h3> <p>Both teams’ last-eight scoring averages have cooled versus season-long numbers—Dalian at 1.00 GF, Chongqing at 1.13 GF—but context matters. Dalian’s dip coincides with a tricky run; Chongqing’s recent defeats came against top opposition, and they’ve responded with a clean 2-0 and a 2-1 away win. The away side’s overall profile (3.00 total goals per game season-long) remains an anchor for overs and BTTS.</p> <h3>Markets and Value</h3> <ul> <li><strong>BTTS Yes (1.71)</strong> – With both sides posting high BTTS venue splits (69% and 67%), the price underrates the likelihood. Dalian’s equalizing rate at home further supports.</li> <li><strong>Over 2.5 Goals (1.83)</strong> – Chongqing’s away Over 2.5 hits 83%. Even allowing for Dalian’s strong home defense, the blend still pushes north of the 54.6% breakeven.</li> <li><strong>First Half Over 1.5 (2.55)</strong> – A standout value play given Chongqing’s early scoring/conceding tendencies and Dalian’s frequent 1-1 half-time results.</li> <li><strong>Chongqing DNB (1.51)</strong> – If you want the safer side of the result, the promotion-chasing visitors are the stronger probabilistic hold with draw protection.</li> <li><strong>Longshot Angle: HT Draw / FT Chongqing (5.40)</strong> – Dalian draw 69% of home first halves; Chongqing often find second-half winners. Price looks generous.</li> </ul> <h3>Scoreline and Props</h3> <p>The modal away-winning scoreline sits around 1-2 given Dalian’s home defensive baseline and Chongqing’s away firepower. “Away exact goals: 2 (3.50)” aligns with their 2.25 away GF and typical winning patterns without requiring a fourth goal against a tough home defense.</p> <h3>Final Word</h3> <p>This is a promotion-motivated, high-tempo away side versus a sturdy but regressing home unit. The Oracle expects both to land blows, with the prices tilting toward BTTS and Over 2.5 as the primary value paths. If one side edges the result, the data leans Chongqing—especially after half-time.</p> </body> </html>
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