Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Utd
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<html> <head> <title>Hearts vs Dundee United – Tactical Preview, Odds and Value</title> </head> <body> <h2>Hearts vs Dundee United: Tynecastle tilt favors ruthless leaders</h2> <p>League-leading Heart of Midlothian welcome Dundee United to Tynecastle Park on November 9 with momentum and metrics firmly behind the hosts. Hearts sit atop the Premiership with 29 points from 11 and have been excellent at home, while Dundee United hover mid-table after an up-and-down start capped by a 2-0 defeat at Motherwell.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <p>Hearts arrive off a commanding 4-0 dismantling of Dundee, extending a run of seven wins in eight league games. Their last-8 defensive numbers are the standout: just 0.50 goals conceded per match, a 39% improvement on their season average. Dundee United’s last eight are steadier (1.50 PPG) but the trend is less convincing away from Tannadice; they have conceded 1.8 goals per away game and just ended a three-match unbeaten spell with a shutout loss.</p> <h3>Venue dynamics: Tynecastle edge</h3> <p>Tynecastle has been a fortress: 2.67 points per game, 83% wins, 2.67 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded per match, with clean sheets in 67% of home fixtures. The home crowd and compact pitch typically reward Hearts’ intensity and set-piece threat. By contrast, Dundee United’s away profile shows fragility when leading (17% lead-defending rate) and a tendency to give up chances after the interval.</p> <h3>Tactical matchup and goal timing</h3> <p>Hearts’ midfield screen—Baningime and Devlin—has been excellent at controlling tempo and protecting the back line, allowing fullbacks and set-piece aces (Halkett, Findlay, Kingsley) to attack dead balls. Going forward, Shankland remains the reference point with Kabore and Kyziridis supplementing with direct running and shots. Hearts score 64% of their goals in the second half and continue to build pressure deep into games; their 76–90’ output is among the league’s best.</p> <p>Dundee United’s best spells have come in transitions and individual moments—Dolček’s output and Sibbald’s late bursts—but the supply line fades under sustained pressure. The away second-half defensive splits are worrying: they concede more after the break, precisely where Hearts tend to accelerate.</p> <h3>Set pieces: a decisive lever</h3> <p>Hearts’ centre-backs, especially Craig Halkett and Stuart Findlay, are an ongoing set-piece menace—both have already scored multiple times this season. United have conceded to aerial threats in recent fixtures and have struggled to clear second phases. This is an area where Hearts can build a margin, not just a lead.</p> <h3>Markets and value</h3> <ul> <li>Asian Handicap Hearts -1 at 1.70 looks appropriately aggressive. Four of Hearts’ five home league wins have been by 2+ goals, and Utd’s away lead-defending is poor.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half: Second at 1.91. Hearts are markedly stronger after HT; United fade late. This aligns with both timing models.</li> <li>Win to Nil at 2.50 is generous given Hearts’ 67% home clean-sheet rate and improved GA in the last eight. United can nick goals, but the price compensates.</li> <li>Hearts Over 1.5 Team Goals at 1.48 functions as a banker. They average 2.67 GF at home and have cleared 1.5 in most home fixtures.</li> <li>Anytime Scorer (value): Craig Halkett at 5.50. The set-piece angle is live and the pricing attractive relative to his current scoring rate.</li> </ul> <h3>Team news and sentiment</h3> <p>Hearts report no major injuries among key contributors, with Shankland and new signing Kabore in good nick. The fanbase is buoyant and the media expectation is for another statement performance as the title challenge gathers pace. Dundee United remain pragmatic; while their midfield (Camará, Sibbald) competes, the attack hasn’t consistently produced away to top sides, and margins against the elite have been thin.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s outlook</h3> <p>Expect Hearts to establish territory, test United’s defensive structure from corners and wide free-kicks, and gradually turn the screw after halftime. Dundee United can threaten sporadically, especially in transition, but the matchup and venue tilt heavily towards a multi-goal Hearts win. The Asian -1 and second-half markets offer the cleanest blend of probability and price, with set-piece props an appealing kicker.</p> </body> </html>
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