Larisa vs Levadiakos
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<html> <head><title>Larisa vs Levadiakos: Data-Driven Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Larisa vs Levadiakos: Late Action Likely In a High-Lean BTTS Clash</h2> <p>Larisa welcome Levadiakos in a game where the numbers point to goals and second-half drama. With the hosts struggling for stability at home and the visitors thriving in open contests, this fixture carries a strong statistical signature: both sides should get on the board, and the final 45 minutes may decide it.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Levadiakos arrive in far better overall shape. Across the last eight rounds they sit fourth in the form table with 12 points, while Larisa’s 7-point return puts them closer to the relegation fray. Levadiakos’ recent run includes a 6–0 demolition of Panaitolikos and hard-earned draws against Atromitos and Aris, showing both attacking diversity and resilience. Larisa, meanwhile, have won only once in eight, and their home PPG is a scant 0.5.</p> <h3>Injuries and Selection</h3> <p>Larisa’s selection issues are mounting, with defenders Epaminondas Pantelakis and Panagiotis Deligiannidis among the absentees. That’s a worrying development for a back line already conceding 2.25 per home game. Creative midfielder Jani Atanasov remains their key conduit, with Giannis Pasas the likely focal point in the final third.</p> <p>Levadiakos report a relatively clean bill. Up front, Alen Ozbolt is poised to start, with Fabricio Pedrozo and Sebastián Palacios offering added punch and depth. Enis Çokaj and Ioannis Kosti underpin midfield control, while Triantafyllos Tsapras has been a quiet assist machine down the right.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies and Goal Timing</h3> <p>Larisa have been passive for long stretches at home: only 4% of home time spent leading and 52% trailing. They concede first early (home average conceded-first minute 20), often leaving uphill battles. Conversely, Levadiakos are slow starters away—trailing at half-time in all three road games—but surge after the break: fully 80% of their away goals arrive in the second half, with a pronounced punch from 76 to 90 minutes (three late away goals already).</p> <p>This contrast sets up a classic two-act match: Larisa’s early fragility can grant Levadiakos territory, while the visitors’ late-game momentum threatens to flip the game state after half-time. Markets reflect this with the second half priced as the favored high-scoring period—and given the data, 2.15 still offers value.</p> <h3>Why Both Teams to Score Is The Angle</h3> <p>Larisa have failed to keep a clean sheet at home (0%), while Levadiakos away clean sheets are also 0%. BTTS has landed in 75% of Larisa’s home games and 100% of Levadiakos’ away games. While Larisa’s overall over 2.5 rate is modest, Levadiakos’ matches skew high-scoring: 62% over 2.5 and an eye-catching 62% over 3.5 across the season. The visitors don’t just carry threat—they invite it, too, with 2.00 GA away paired with 1.67 GF.</p> <h3>Key Matchups</h3> <ul> <li>Ozbolt vs Larisa’s patched-up back line: The Slovenian has three in six and is supported by Pedrozo and Palacios. The hosts’ injury situation amplifies his value in scoring markets.</li> <li>Atanasov vs Çokaj/Kosti: Larisa’s best route to chance creation meets an efficient Levadiakos midfield that can both progress the ball and disrupt.</li> <li>Set-pieces and transitions: With Larisa conceding early and Levadiakos equalizing at a 75% clip, transitional moments—especially after HT—could define the scoreboard.</li> </ul> <h3>The Betting Landscape</h3> <p>Books make Levadiakos slight favorites at 2.30 on the money line. That’s fair, but away variance and their tendency to trail at the interval argue for protection: Draw No Bet at 1.65 is the sharper way to back the visitors. The standout primary angle, though, remains BTTS at 1.85 given both teams’ clean-sheet profiles and venue splits. For those seeking plus money, the highest-scoring half being the second at 2.15 aligns tightly with the goal timing data, and Levadiakos Over 0.5 second-half goals at 1.76 is a complementary micro-market. Ozbolt at 2.75 anytime is a player-led route to value against depleted opposition.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Expect an edgy first half and a livelier second. Levadiakos carry the superior form and greater attacking depth, while Larisa’s fans will hope their side can harness home support to land a punch of their own. The data points to both nets bulging, with late swings favoring the visitors.</p> </body> </html>
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