Alanyaspor vs Goztepe

S Per Lig - Turkey Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 02:00 PM GAİN Park Stadyumu Scheduled

Match Information

Home Team: Alanyaspor
Away Team: Goztepe
Competition: S Per Lig
Country: Turkey
Date & Time: Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 02:00 PM
Venue: GAİN Park Stadyumu

Match Preview

<html> <head> <title>Alanyaspor vs Göztepe: Tactical, Trends and Value Angles</title> </head> <body> <h2>Form and Context</h2> <p>Ninth-placed Alanyaspor welcome third-placed Göztepe to Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadium with the visitors riding an eight-game unbeaten start (W4 D4) and an elite defensive record. Alanyaspor have been competitive overall but curiously blunt at home, scoring only two goals in three home fixtures. Against that, Göztepe’s defensive structure has been outstanding: just two goals conceded all season and six clean sheets from eight.</p> <h2>Team News and Absences</h2> <p>Alanyaspor’s only reported absentee is Buluthan Bulut. Göztepe travel without Anthony Dennis (suspended), Junior Olaitan (injury) and Ogün Bayrak (injury), thinning their rotation options in midfield/attack but not touching the defensive core. That matters because their identity so far has been built from the back—Lis in goal, Bokele and Héliton anchoring, plus the physically imposing Allan Godói when used.</p> <h2>Venue Dynamics and Trends</h2> <p>Alanyaspor’s home matches have run cold for goals: 1.00 total goals per game, 0% Over 2.5, and 0% BTTS. They’ve banked two clean sheets at home, but also failed to score in two of three. Göztepe’s away trend is similarly tight: 1.75 total goals per game, only 25% Over 2.5, and 75% clean sheets. These splits converge strongly on a cagey, low-scoring fixture.</p> <h2>Tactics and Matchup</h2> <p>Alanyaspor’s threat comes in spurts via Uchenna Ogundu’s direct running and the guile of Maestro between the lines, with Hwang Ui-jo offering movement but limited shot volume so far. Their build rarely overloads the box at home, while their defensive unit with Nuno Lima and Fidan Aliti has actually been disciplined at this venue.</p> <p>Göztepe’s framework is clear: compact mid-block, timing their presses, and breaking with athletic wide forwards. Rhaldney provides ball-winning and tempo control, while Juan’s vertical runs ask questions behind fullbacks. The late-game output is notable: Göztepe score 64% of their goals after the break (83% of away goals in the second half), dovetailing with Alanyaspor’s tendency to concede later in matches on the road—though at home they’ve kept second halves clean so far.</p> <h2>Key Individual Battles</h2> <p>Ogundu vs Bokele/Héliton is the headline duel: Ogundu’s burst against Bokele’s range and Héliton’s aerial dominance. Maestro’s ability to find pockets will be checked by Rhaldney and Kurtulan cutting passing lanes. In goal, Mateusz Lis has been superb (17 saves, six clean sheets), and Ertuğrul Taşkıran for Alanyaspor has also rated well—another tick for the under.</p> <h2>Psychology, Game State and Timing</h2> <p>Göztepe rarely trail (time trailing 3%), which keeps them out of desperate, stretched game states. Their lead-defending rate is high (80%) and they’re comfortable banking 0-0s and grinding 1-0s. Alanyaspor’s lead-defending is erratic overall (33%), but at home they’ve held firm when ahead. Expect a careful opening, likely a first-half stalemate, and a gradual rise in tempo after the hour.</p> <h2>Market View and Value</h2> <p>Odds reflect Göztepe’s edge but may still underrate the low-total angle. Under 2.5 around 1.65 matches the venue-specific data (Alanyaspor home Under 2.5: 100%). BTTS No at 1.85 is the sharper price given Alanyaspor’s 67% home fail-to-score paired with Göztepe’s 75% away clean sheet rate. The draw-no-bet on Göztepe (1.75) respects the hosts’ stubbornness at home, but aligns with the visitors’ superior form and backline.</p> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>This profiles as a compact, chess-like encounter decided by fine margins and second-half moments. With Göztepe’s defense and late-game punch, The Oracle leans to a narrow away result in a low-scoring match.</p> <p><strong>Forecast:</strong> Alanyaspor 0–1 Göztepe</p> </body> </html>

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