Amed vs Pendikspor
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<html> <head> <title>Amed SK vs Pendikspor – Data-Driven Preview and Betting Insight</title> </head> <body> <h2>Form, Context and Stakes</h2> <p>Amed and Pendikspor meet at Şilbe Spor Kompleksi with both sides off to competitive starts. The early table places Pendik fourth and Amed fifth after four rounds, reflecting how little separates them. Local coverage notes a tense, motivated Amed crowd after last season’s narrow 0-1 home defeat to Pendik. No major injuries are reported; both managers are expected to stick with consistent lineups and patterns from the opening weeks.</p> <h2>Venue Dynamics and Match Flow</h2> <p>Amed at home have been entertaining and volatile: 2.00 points per game with 3.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded. Both their home matches landed BTTS and Over 3.5. Pendik away are unbeaten (two draws), with 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded per game and 100% BTTS away. The split-specific numbers are emphatic for goals and mutual scoring in this venue combination.</p> <h2>Why Goals Set the Tone</h2> <p>Amed’s matches are running at 5.25 total goals per game (league average 3.05). Over 3.5 has hit in 75%. Pendik’s away games average 4.00. Amed’s leadDefendingRate is just 50%, while Pendik boast a 100% equalizingRate and have conceded first in both away matches, rallying after the break. This creates a classic BTTS and totals profile: Amed often strike early at home; Pendik chase and hit back, particularly late.</p> <h2>Second-Half Surge Expected</h2> <p>Both teams are second-half heavy. Amed score 64% of their goals after halftime; Pendik a massive 88%. From 76–90 minutes, Pendik have 3 goals while Amed have 3 scored and 3 conceded—late drama is common. This supports two angles: Over 1.5 Goals in the second half, and “Second Half higher scoring” markets. The fundamentals (fitness, bench impact via Thuram for Pendik and Amed’s multi-scorer attack) back a lively finish.</p> <h2>Key Players and Tactical Battlegrounds</h2> <p>Dia Saba (5 goals) and Fernando Andrade (3) are in rhythm for Amed, with fullback Murat Uçar providing an unusual volume of end product (5 assists), indicating dangerous wide service. For Pendik, Mallik Wilks (2G, 2A) is the transition catalyst, Jonson Clarke-Harris supplies penalty-box presence, and Stelios Kitsiou’s advanced fullback play has already produced two goals.</p> <h2>Risks and Regression</h2> <p>It’s early in the season (four matches), so extremes like Amed’s 8-1 win and Pendik’s perfect equalizing rate can regress. Pendik’s propensity to concede first away is likely to normalize over time. Still, the splits converge on goals and BTTS here, and even modest regression leaves value at current prices.</p> <h2>Betting Verdict</h2> <ul> <li><strong>Primary:</strong> BTTS – Yes (1.73). The venue splits both show 100% BTTS; neither side is keeping clean sheets in these contexts.</li> <li><strong>Secondary:</strong> Over 2.5 (1.75) and Over 1.5 Second Half (2.00). Supporting data: Amed’s 5.25 total goals/game and both teams’ second-half bias.</li> <li><strong>Lean/Value:</strong> Amed to score first (1.53) given Pendik’s away pattern; Half-time Draw (2.30) aligns with Pendik’s 75% HT draws; BTTS+Over 2.5 (2.20) is a fair correlated enhancement.</li> <li><strong>Longshot Prop:</strong> 2-2 Correct Score (13.00). It aligns with BTTS/high totals and Pendik’s away equalizers; a small-stake play.</li> </ul> <h2>Forecast</h2> <p>Expect an assertive Amed start with Pendik growing into the game after the interval. The blend of Amed’s early thrust and Pendik’s late resilience makes both teams to score the clearest angle, with totals and second-half markets next in line. A score-draw such as 2-2 is very live at a big price.</p> </body> </html>
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