Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor

<div> <h2>Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor: Cagey early, decided late?</h2> <p>Two sides locked on 10 points meet in Ankara with contrasting venue identities: Keçiörengücü are compact and low-event at home, while Sivasspor’s road matches have been stubborn, low-scoring affairs. With promotion ambitions shadowing the visitors and survival priorities guiding the hosts, the stylistic clash points toward a measured, tactical contest.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <p>Keçiörengücü sit 15th after nine, a profile defined by narrow margins. At Aktepe, they average 0.75 goals for and 0.75 against, posting two clean sheets in four. The bruising 4-1 defeat away to Amed SK last time out was a reminder that their defensive structure travels poorly, but at home the numbers stabilize.</p> <p>Sivasspor are 14th with the same total points but a clear split: 2.00 PPG at home (unbeaten) and just 0.40 away. Their road ledger shows two 0-0 draws, plus defeats at Pendikspor and Amed SK. The last three results (5-0 vs Adana Demirspor, then back-to-back 0-0 vs Sakaryaspor and Serik Belediyes) show a surge in defensive solidity and a conservative tilt, especially away.</p> <h3>Tactical matchup</h3> <p>Expect Keçiörengücü to protect central spaces, sit in a mid-block and use Francis Ezeh’s direct running as the release valve. Their set-up at home has produced sterile first halves—three of four home games have been level at the break, with two 0-0s overall in Ankara already.</p> <p>Sivasspor underlined a pragmatic gameplan on the road: keep it compact, slow the tempo, and lean on late moments through Turaç Böke and supporting runners. Crucially, Sivasspor have not scored a single first-half goal away this season, and their average away scoring minute is deep into the second half. That dovetails with Keçiörengücü’s defensive posture and the expected cool, clear conditions that should favor shape and discipline over chaos.</p> <h3>Key players and trends</h3> <ul> <li>Francis Ezeh (Keçiörengücü): 5 goals and the clear outlet in transition. He’s the hosts’ best chance to force errors from a Sivas back line that prefers the game in front of them.</li> <li>Turaç Böke (Sivasspor): 5 goals, much of Sivas’ punch. But the away data says he tends to impact late when game states open.</li> <li>Goalkeepers: Mehmet Erdoğan (Keci) and Ali Şaşal Vural (Sivas) both grade well; clean sheets and low first-half xG align with their numbers.</li> </ul> <h3>Goal timing: first-half freeze, second-half thaw</h3> <p>The single strongest pattern is Sivasspor’s first-half drought away (0 goals in five away first halves) and 80% of those halves ending 0-0. Keçiörengücü’s home first halves have been drawn 75% of the time. Combine that with Sivas’ broader split—90% of their total goals scored after half-time—and a game script emerges: cautious, low-yield first half; more action after the interval.</p> <h3>Set pieces and game-state management</h3> <p>Neither side looks especially dominant from dead balls, but Keçiörengücü’s home lead-defending is acceptable, while Sivasspor overall boast a 100% lead-defending rate this season—though they’ve rarely led away. If someone gets in front, the in-play lean is unders and the trailing side struggling to manufacture high-quality chances.</p> <h3>Market view and value</h3> <p>Markets shade Sivasspor as marginal favorites away from home in public sentiment, but the data doesn't fully back it. Keçiörengücü at home suppress goals; Sivasspor are less effective traveling and often defer early risk. That creates edges on first-half unders/draws, a lower Sivas team total, and a match trend where the second half out-scores the first.</p> <h3>Weather and intangibles</h3> <p>Cool, clear Ankara conditions (14–18°C) should mean a reliable surface and fewer random errors. With no major injury or suspension clouds reported midweek, continuity selections are likely, nudging further toward a structured, risk-averse opening period.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Keçiörengücü 0–0 Sivasspor at HT; tight margins after the break. Full-time: 1–1 feels most plausible, with the second half carrying more action than the first.</p> </div>