Somaspor vs Fethiyespor
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<html> <head> <title>Somaspor vs Fethiyespor: Survival Scrap Preview, Odds, and Betting Angles</title> <meta charset="utf-8" /> </head> <body> <h1>Somaspor vs Fethiyespor: Stakes High, Goals Low</h1> <p>Round 19 of the TFF 2. Lig Kırmızı Grup brings a relegation-tilted clash in Soma on January 17, 2026 (12:00 UTC). Somaspor (16th, 12 pts) host Fethiyespor (14th, 15 pts) with both teams desperate to arrest alarming trends. The market tilts toward the visitors, but the matchup data suggests a far tighter, low-scoring contest.</p> <h2>Form and Context</h2> <p>Somaspor’s season has been wretched, particularly at home: just a single point from eight home matches (0-1-7), 4 goals scored and 23 conceded. Yet, the broader trajectory is marginally upward—1.00 PPG over their last eight league outings versus 0.67 across the season. A gritty 0-1 win at Gebzespor hints at renewed resolve, even if their home form remains frail.</p> <p>Fethiyespor’s recent slide is stark. They’re winless in 10 league matches and have failed to score in four straight. The last eight matches yield just 0.38 PPG (down 54% from their season average). Crucially, their away record mirrors Somaspor’s home woes: 0-1-7, 0.13 PPG, scoring only 0.5 goals per game on the road with a 62% failed-to-score rate away.</p> <h2>Tactical Themes</h2> <p>Expect a cagey, attritional battle. Somaspor’s home profile—low attacking output (0.50 GF) and chaotic defending—meets a Fethiyespor attack devoid of fluency. The visitors’ recent run of 0-0s and 0-1s points to risk aversion, compact lines, and limited numbers committed in transition. Somaspor are likely to let Fethiyespor have sterile possession phases while targeting set pieces and broken-play opportunities.</p> <p>Set plays could matter: both sides lack consistent open-play creativity, so restarts and second balls around the box loom large. In January conditions (cool, potentially greasy surface), precision delivery and defending the first contact will be pivotal.</p> <h2>Key Numbers That Matter</h2> <ul> <li>Fethiyespor away: 0-1-7, 0.13 PPG, 62% failed to score.</li> <li>Somaspor home: 0-1-7, 0.13 PPG, 0.50 GF, 2.88 GA.</li> <li>Last 8 PPG: Somaspor 1.00 vs Fethiyespor 0.38.</li> <li>Recent results skew under for Fethiye; multiple 0-0s and tight defeats in the last month.</li> </ul> <h2>Odds Landscape and Value</h2> <p>Books make Fethiyespor odds-on-ish at 1.91 to win. The Oracle sees that as aggressive for a team with zero away wins and a current goal drought. The value sits with Somaspor +0.5 at 1.88—covering the draw and fading the away narrative. Low-goal angles are also live: Under 2.25 at 2.00 and BTTS No at 1.83 align with the combined 1.0 GF per game from the relevant venue splits and Fethiye’s 62% away FTS.</p> <p>The draw at 3.30 stands out as a correlated side outcome in a match likely defined by attrition rather than sustained pressure. For longer odds, 0-0 at 8.50 is a reasonable sprinkle given Fethiye’s streak of blanks and recent nil-nil tendencies.</p> <h2>What Could Swing It?</h2> <p>If Somaspor concede early, the game can open up—history shows they leak once behind. Conversely, if Fethiyespor break their scoring drought via a set piece or deflection, the hosts’ fragile confidence could wobble. However, without any fresh news of returning goal-scorers or tactical shifts, the base expectation is a slow burner with limited high-quality chances.</p> <h2>The Oracle’s Card</h2> <ul> <li>Somaspor +0.5 (1.88): fading a short away price with strong split data support.</li> <li>Under 2.25 (2.00): both attacks weak, conditions likely to suppress tempo.</li> <li>BTTS No (1.83): dovetails with Fethiye’s four straight blanks.</li> <li>Draw (3.30): logical companion to the low-goal script.</li> </ul> <p>Bottom line: this looks like a survival scrap first and a football match second. The Oracle expects a tight, low-scoring contest where avoiding defeat is prioritized—and the value lies in opposing the away favorite and backing a low total.</p> </body> </html>
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