Cerro Porteno vs Atlético Tembetary
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Cerro Porteño vs Atlético Tembetary: Data-Led Match Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Cerro Porteño vs Atlético Tembetary — Form, Trends and Value</h2> <p>Cerro Porteño welcome Atlético Tembetary to the Estadio General Pablo Rojas on September 7 for a Clausura clash between the current pace-setter and the bottom side. The market rightly has Cerro as strong favourites, but the data offers routes to better value than the short home win price.</p> <h3>Context and Motivation</h3> <p>Cerro Porteño sit atop the form table over the last eight games and lead the overall standings. Tembetary occupy 12th and have struggled away, collecting just 0.20 PPG on their travels. Cerro’s schedule is a small subplot: they faced Libertad two days earlier (Sep 5), which could nudge the game-state towards late-opener substitutions and second-half goals. Still, the depth and quality at Cerro should remain decisive.</p> <h3>Venue Split: Cerro at Home vs Tembetary Away</h3> <p>Cerro’s home return (1.60 PPG, 1.40 GF/1.20 GA) is less dominant than their outstanding away record, but still comfortably better than Tembetary’s away metrics (0.20 PPG, 0.80 GF/2.60 GA). A decisive gap in leadDefendingRate underpins the mismatch: Cerro defend 67% of home leads; Tembetary defend 0% of away leads.</p> <h3>Goal Flow and Timing</h3> <p>If there’s a leitmotif in this matchup, it’s second-half action. Tembetary concede 68% of their goals after the interval and are especially vulnerable from minute 61 onwards. Cerro’s concession profile is also late-leaning (58% after HT), and both sides carry notable goal activity from 76–90. Expect a livelier second period.</p> <h3>Why the Away Goal is Live</h3> <p>Despite Tembetary’s lowly standing, they’ve scored in four of five away matches (away failed-to-score: 20%). Cerro allow 1.20 GA at home and their home BTTS is 60%. The visitors’ away BTTS is a striking 80% (vs league average 45%), which heavily informs two of the best angles: Both Teams to Score and Tembetary Over 0.5 Team Goals.</p> <h3>Market Assessment and Value</h3> <ul> <li>Both Teams to Score – Yes (1.95): The away BTTS rate (80%) makes this price look generous, especially with Cerro’s strong likelihood to contribute.</li> <li>Tembetary Over 0.5 Goals (1.80): With four away scoring efforts in five and Cerro’s home GA profile, the implied price underrates their chance to nick one.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half: Second (2.00): Tembetary’s late concession trend (68% after HT) is a reliable tell.</li> <li>Cerro + Over 2.5 (1.93): The combination capitalises on Tembetary’s 2.60 GA away while recognising Cerro’s superior quality.</li> </ul> <h3>Players and Tactical Notes</h3> <p>Cerro’s danger spreads across Carrizo (set-pieces/penalties), Aliseda and Araujo, with Iturbe offering thrust in transition. They’ve struck crucial late goals in recent matches, which dovetails with the recommended second-half angles. For Tembetary, Charpentier, Gudiño and Yegros have been the recent sources; quick counters and set pieces are their best path to breach.</p> <h3>Contradictory Noise vs Numbers</h3> <p>Some external notes suggest Tembetary’s recent defensive form has been elite and that Cerro hardly see BTTS. That does not align with the league dataset here: Tembetary away BTTS sits at 80%, and they concede 2.60 per away match. Treat such claims cautiously and rely on the in-league, venue-specific evidence.</p> <h3>Scoreline Picture</h3> <p>The data skews towards a home win with both teams scoring. Notably, Tembetary’s away score distribution includes 3-1 defeats twice, which maps closely to the probabilities suggested by total-goal and BTTS patterns. The exact 3-1 at 9.00 is a reasonable long-shot sprinkle.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Cerro should win, but the smartest angles exploit Tembetary’s strong away-BTTS trend and their second-half vulnerabilities. BTTS Yes and Tembetary Over 0.5 are the best value-driven entries, with late-goal dynamics enhancing the second-half markets. Expect a competitive, open second period with Cerro’s quality decisive over 90 minutes.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights