Fehérvár FC vs Mezokovesd-zsory
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<html> <body> <h2>Fehérvár FC vs Mezőkövesd-Zsóry: Data Favors the Visitors with DNB Safety</h2> <h3>Context and Stakes</h3> <p>Fehérvár FC (Videoton) host Mezőkövesd-Zsóry in an NB II clash where narratives diverge from the numbers. Local sentiment remains bullish on Mezőkövesd’s promotion push, while Fehérvár’s rebuild is still uneven. The table data in our feed places Mezőkövesd 3rd (16 pts) and Fehérvár 9th (9 pts), reflecting a clear early gap in overall quality.</p> <h3>Form and Patterns</h3> <p>Across eight matches, Mezőkövesd average 2.00 points per game and dominate the time-leading metrics (43% of match time ahead). Their away profile is explosive: 3.00 goals scored per game and 5.00 total goals on the road, with both teams scoring in 100% of those fixtures. By contrast, Fehérvár are an archetypal venue-split team: a modest 1.13 PPG overall but a respectable 1.75 PPG at home, 0.75 GA at home, and an impressive 75% clean-sheet rate in Székesfehérvár.</p> <h3>The Tactical Chess Match</h3> <p>Expect Fehérvár’s 4-2-3-1 to be cautious early, leaning on a compact block and quick transitions—mirroring their 100% rate of defending a lead at home. Their scoring timing suggests a second-half bias, while they virtually shut down games late (0 goals conceded at home in 76-90). Mezőkövesd’s away timeline flips that script: they are strong late (76-90: 3 goals scored in away matches), carrying significant equalizing power (75% away equalizing rate). This sets up a contest of control versus momentum—Fehérvár will try to strike first and lock the game, while Mezőkövesd have repeatedly found late solutions on their travels.</p> <h3>Key Players to Watch</h3> <p>Mezőkövesd’s talisman József Szalai is the headline threat (multiple goals in the logs across July–September), supported by Ádám Pintér and Lajos Bertus. The away side’s goals are well spread—another reason their 3.00 away GF feels sustainable. Fehérvár distribute goals among Roland Varga, Dékei, Nagy, and Simut, which can be a strength if they find rhythm but also hints at a lack of a single reliable finisher.</p> <h3>Numbers vs Market</h3> <p>The market prices Mezőkövesd as slight favorites away (2.20), with the Draw No Bet line at 1.70. Given the visitors’ superior overall level and demonstrated resilience when conceding first (overall equalizing rate 60%), the DNB angle lands as the most rational core position. The first half draw at 2.30 also looks fat: Mezőkövesd’s away half-time results include two draws from three, and Fehérvár’s home HT profile is mixed—good for an equilibrium first 45.</p> <h3>Total Goals and BTTS: High-Variance Call</h3> <p>Mezőkövesd’s away matches scream goals, but Fehérvár’s home clean sheets argue the other way. Statistically, Over 2.5 at 1.66 rides the 67% away trend and 50% home trend; BTTS Yes at 1.55 leans on the visitors’ 100% away BTTS. Stake sizing should reflect the conflict: keep the totals and BTTS smaller than the DNB and HT draw.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <ul> <li>Primary angle: Mezőkövesd DNB at 1.70—back the quality and resilience, reduce exposure to a tight home venue.</li> <li>Secondary angle: Half-time Draw at 2.30—timing and HT-state data align.</li> <li>Totals: Over 2.5 live with Mezőkövesd’s away chaos, but moderate stakes given Fehérvár’s home clean-sheet trend.</li> </ul> <p>With a full week’s rest and no key injuries flagged, expect a high-level, finely poised contest. The statistical edge still tilts toward Mezőkövesd’s steadier form and comeback capacity.</p> </body> </html>
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