Kozarmisleny FC vs Budapest Honved

Nb Ii - Hungary Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 03:00 PM Kozármislenyi Stadion completed

Match Information

Home Team: Kozarmisleny FC
Away Team: Budapest Honved
Competition: Nb Ii
Country: Hungary
Date & Time: Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 03:00 PM
Venue: Kozármislenyi Stadion

Match Preview

<html> <head><title>Kozármisleny vs Budapest Honvéd – Tactical Preview, Odds and Best Bets</title></head> <body> <h2>Context and Motivation</h2> <p>Budapest Honvéd visit Kozármisleny with promotion ambitions intact after a strong start to the NB II season. Honvéd sit near the summit with one of the division’s best points-per-game tallies, while Kozármisleny are closer to the relegation fight. Mild, calm conditions in Kozármisleny should favor a clean, tactical contest.</p> <h2>Form Guide and Statistical Profile</h2> <p>Honvéd’s overall profile is impressive: 2.11 goals scored per game, 0.89 conceded, and 2.11 points per game. They rank second on last-8 form with 16 points, underscoring stability. Kozármisleny’s numbers show why they struggle—0.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game, with just 0.5 PPG at home.</p> <p>Venue splits are telling. Kozármisleny at home have scored just 0.5 per game and concede 2.0, with a 50% fail-to-score rate. Their lead defending rate at home is 0%, and they concede first in 75% of their home matches. Honvéd away are more pragmatic, conceding only 0.75 per game, and when they score first, they defend leads with 100% success on the road.</p> <h2>Tactics and Matchups</h2> <p>Kozármisleny tend to start slowly, conceding early (average minute conceded first 27 at home) and doing most of their scoring after half-time. Expect a compact 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 with an emphasis on late counters and set-pieces. Honvéd are flexible: they can set up with a back four, push their wide players aggressively, and have multiple scorers—Csontos, Zuigéber, Szamosi, and Medgyes have all contributed.</p> <p>The matchup edge lies in transitions. Honvéd break quickly and score early (overall average first goal at 13’), while Kozármisleny are slow to settle. If Honvéd take the lead, Kozármisleny’s equalizing rate (33%) and poor game-state management put them in a hole.</p> <h2>Goal Timing and Total Goals Outlook</h2> <p>The splits point to a game that skews under the market line. Kozármisleny games have gone over 2.5 just 22% this season (25% at home), and Honvéd’s away games average only 2.0 total goals. The home side do much of their scoring late (83% after HT), while Honvéd’s big bursts often come before the break. Expect a wary opening from Kozármisleny, with Honvéd’s control limiting clear chances.</p> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <ul> <li>Dominik Csontos (Honvéd): Arrives late into the box and can score from wide-left channels.</li> <li>Ádám Zuigéber (Honvéd): A livewire in the right half-space; calm finisher.</li> <li>Dominik Kocsis (Kozármisleny): The hosts’ late-threat specialist; key on counters.</li> <li>Bálint Babinszky (Kozármisleny): Poacher instincts; relies on service that may be limited against Honvéd’s structure.</li> </ul> <h2>Market View and Value</h2> <p>Public sentiment leans Honvéd, and with reason. The away price of 1.70 implies about 59% win probability; The Oracle’s modeling edges that closer to 60–62% given the venue splits and game-state metrics—so a sliver of value exists. The real inefficiency likely sits in derivatives: Under 2.5 at 1.95 and BTTS No at 1.95 are both supported by Kozármisleny’s blunt home attack and Honvéd’s solid away defensive numbers. First-half Draw at 2.25 is another angle supported by both teams’ HT tendencies.</p> <h2>Risk Factors</h2> <p>Honvéd’s away “failed to score” rate (50%) is a legitimate caution—two recent 1-0 away defeats keep this from being a slam-dunk. Kozármisleny are trending slightly upward with a three-match undefeated run. However, the underlying venue numbers and game-state data still sharply tilt towards the visitors.</p> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>The Oracle’s call: Honvéd’s measured road performance, superior chance creation, and Kozármisleny’s home inefficiency point to a professional away win in a lower-scoring match. Correct score lean: 0-2.</p> </body> </html>

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