Soroksar vs Fehérvár FC

<div> <h2>Soroksár vs Fehérvár: Data-led angles for a tight NB II clash</h2> <p> The Oracle sees a classic NB II tension match at Szamosi Mihály Sporttelep: a leaky Soroksár back line at home against a Fehérvár side still searching for their first away win but showing measurable second-half steel. The context is clear—Soroksár sit 12th with a high-event home profile, while Fehérvár (Videoton) arrive 8th, carrying the expectation of a promotion push after relegation and a summer reset. </p> <h3>Form and venue dynamics</h3> <p> Soroksár’s home slate has been volatile (1W-2D-2L), producing 3.40 total goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate. They’ve conceded 2.2 per home game and struggle to protect advantages (home lead-defending just 25%). Fehérvár’s away sample (0W-2D-2L) looks underwhelming, but there’s improvement: they’re unbeaten in three overall and defending better in the last eight (GA down 20.7% vs season average). </p> <p> Crucially, Fehérvár’s away scoring pattern is late: they’ve scored 100% of their away goals after halftime, while Soroksár concede a massive 82% of home goals after the break. That clash of profiles sets up a classic second-half script. </p> <h3>Tactical matchup to watch</h3> <p> Expect Soroksár to be more assertive early, helped by the home crowd and their tendency to start on the front foot (60% of home matches leading at halftime). Fehérvár’s road approach under the new coaching group has shifted toward compact first halves and higher pressing after the interval, leveraging fresher legs and bench impact. Soroksár’s soft underbelly in transitions post-HT—especially around the 46–75’ window (GA heavy in 46–75’)—matches Fehérvár’s strongest phase. </p> <h3>Goal timing and game state</h3> <p> Numbers shout second-half action. Soroksár’s overall GA is 76% in the second half and at home they’ve conceded 9 of 11 after the break. Fehérvár’s away average minute scored is 63’, leaning into late spells. With Soroksár’s equalizing rate decent but their lead-defending poor, swings are likely—prime conditions for Both Teams To Score and Highest Scoring Half: 2nd Half. </p> <h3>Market psychology</h3> <p> The Fehérvár brand often draws away money on the 1X2, but their road PPG sits at 0.50 with no wins. The Oracle expects the market to shade the away victory a touch too short at 2.00, making the draw price at 3.60 stand out. Soroksár’s 40% home draw rate plus Fehérvár’s 50% away draw rate argue for a coin-flip feel—exact score 1-1 at 7.50 is a live runner. </p> <h3>Player threads</h3> <p> For Fehérvár, Roland Varga has been the recent bright spot, chipping in key contributions and offering set-piece quality. Soroksár’s threat is distributed, but their forwards have found late goals when game states open. With no major injuries reported and mild conditions forecast, both coaches should roll strongest XIs and lean on familiar patterns. </p> <h3>The Oracle’s angles</h3> <ul> <li>BTTS – Yes at 1.54: venue-specific BTTS heat (Soroksár 80%, Fehérvár away 75%) and unstable game states.</li> <li>2nd Half to be highest scoring at 1.98: aligned with both teams’ timing splits.</li> <li>Fehérvár to win the 2nd half at 2.38: Soroksár fade late, Fehérvár push late.</li> <li>Draw at 3.60: overperformance vs implied probability given combined draw tendencies.</li> <li>Value hedge: Soroksár +0.25 AH at 1.98 gives draw insurance while still allowing 2H Fehérvár to cash.</li> </ul> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p> This profiles as a tight, variance-friendly contest: Soroksár energetic early, Fehérvár ascendant late. The safest, value-backed stance is BTTS, with a bias toward second-half action and a draw on side at an inflated price. The Oracle plays the timings, not the badges. </p> </div>