Kecskeméti TE vs Kozarmisleny FC

Nb Ii - Hungary Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM Széktói Stadion Scheduled

Match Information

Home Team: Kecskeméti TE
Away Team: Kozarmisleny FC
Competition: Nb Ii
Country: Hungary
Date & Time: Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 04:00 PM
Venue: Széktói Stadion

Match Preview

<html> <head><title>Kecskeméti TE vs Kozármisleny – Match Preview, Betting Odds and Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>Kecskeméti TE vs Kozármisleny: Late-Game Edge Favors Hosts</h2> <p>Kecskeméti TE welcome Kozármisleny to Széktói Stadion with both clubs tracking upward in the NB II form guide. The hosts sit 7th with 20 points from 12 matches, while the visitors are 9th on 14 points but unbeaten in six. With mild November conditions and no major injuries reported, the stage is set for a tactical contest likely decided after the interval.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Kecskemét’s last eight return of 14 points (1.75 PPG) reflects a steady climb. They are strong in Kecskemét: 2.00 PPG at home and a 1.80 GF/1.00 GA profile. Kozármisleny’s uptick is real—1.50 PPG over their last eight, including a statement 2–0 away win at Ajka and a 2–1 success vs Honvéd—but the underlying attack remains modest (1.00 goals per game overall).</p> <h3>The Critical Second Half Pattern</h3> <p>Both sides are second-half teams. Kecskemét score 68% of their goals after halftime, with a pronounced 61–75 minute surge at home (GF 5, GA 0). Kozármisleny mirror the curve: 67% of goals in the second half and improved away resilience beyond the break. Average first scoring minutes are late for the hosts, suggesting a controlled first half and a more open second stanza.</p> <h3>Game State Management</h3> <p>The defining angle is what happens once a team leads. Kecskemét’s lead-defending rate is elite at 86% overall and a spotless 100% at home. Kozármisleny’s is weak at 38% overall (50% away). If the hosts score first—as their home form and chance creation suggest—they are well placed to see it out. Kozármisleny’s equalizing rate (43% overall, 33% away) implies limited comeback capacity against a home side that closes games well.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchups and Set-Piece Notes</h3> <p>Expect Kecskemét to build patiently, leveraging wide service and second-phase pressure, with Gergő Pálinkás the focal finisher and Milán Győrfi providing delivery. Kozármisleny are more transition-oriented, where Richárd Jelena and Barnabás Kozics have made recent contributions. Set pieces could be pivotal; Kecskemét have shown penalty and dead-ball threat in recent rounds, a handy edge if the visitors sit deep.</p> <h3>Totals and BTTS: A Split Picture</h3> <p>Totals markets are tricky: Kecskemét’s home matches lean to overs (60% over 2.5), while Kozármisleny’s away matches lean to unders (only 17% over 2.5). That conflict reduces confidence in the main 2.5 line. Instead, derivative markets tied to the second half offer better clarity. The “Highest Scoring Half – Second Half” price sits near even money, undervaluing the consistent late production on both sides.</p> <h3>Odds and Value</h3> <ul> <li>Home win (1.73): Fair with a small edge given 2.00 home PPG, 100% home lead-defense and the visitors’ poor lead retention.</li> <li>Second-half focus: Highest scoring half (2nd) at 1.99 and 2H Over 1.5 at 2.10 align with both teams’ timing patterns.</li> <li>Home goals: Over 1.5 team goals at 1.83 is plausible (KTE 2+ in 60% of home games), aided by late momentum.</li> <li>Correct score 2–0 at 7.00 carries upside if KTE’s structure strangles a limited away attack.</li> </ul> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Pálinkás is the headline act for Kecskemét, with movement that thrives when the game stretches after halftime. For Kozármisleny, Jelena’s penalty-box sharpness and Kozics’ timing on counters can punish lapses, but sustained chance volume has been an issue away from home.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Kecskeméti TE 2–0 Kozármisleny. Expect a measured first half and a decisive second, with the hosts’ superior game-state management and late thrust making the difference.</p> </body> </html>

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