Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Universidad
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<html> <head><title>Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Universidad – Match Preview & Betting Guide</title></head> <body> <h2>Setting the Scene</h2> <p>Sport Huancayo welcome Alianza Universidad to the Estadio Huancayo in a Clausura clash where the hosts’ altitude-fueled home strength meets an opponent battling form and confidence. The market makes Huancayo clear favorites (1.55), and the data supports that stance.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Huancayo’s overall form has wobbled across September, but their home profile remains imposing: 2.00 points per game with a huge 3.00 goals scored per game. Alianza Universidad arrive on a three-match losing streak, conceding seven and scoring once across that span. While their away return this Clausura has been above league average (1.40 PPG), that figure is padded by August wins and has faded in the last fortnight.</p> <h3>Altitude Advantage and Style Matchup</h3> <p>Huancayo are an attacking outlier relative to the league at home: 4.40 total goals per match, 80% over 2.5 and a <strong>100% rate of both teams scoring</strong>. They start fast (average first home goal on 18 minutes) and finish strong (five goals scored between 76–90 across five home games), creating persistent pressure. Alianza Universidad, conversely, have shown some away resilience but struggle to recover if they fall behind—away PPG when conceding first is 0.00.</p> <h3>Key Numbers to Know</h3> <ul> <li>Huancayo home: 2.00 PPG; 3.00 GF, 1.40 GA; BTTS 100%, O2.5 80%.</li> <li>Alianza Universidad away: 1.40 PPG; 1.20 GF, 1.40 GA; O2.5 60%.</li> <li>Huancayo home leading at HT: 80%; A. Universidad away HT losing 40%.</li> <li>Huancayo home clean sheets: 0% (they concede, but outscore).</li> </ul> <h3>Tactics and Likely XIs</h3> <p><strong>Sport Huancayo (4-2-3-1):</strong> Solís; Ángeles, Murillo, Gaona, Madrid; Salcedo, Edu Villar; Enzo Fernández, <em>Sanguinetti</em>, Carranza; Pósito (with Marlon de Jesús as a high-impact option). Sanguinetti’s late-summer surge has been vital, finding space between the lines and arriving on time in the box.</p> <p><strong>Alianza Universidad (4-4-2/4-2-3-1):</strong> Ynamine; Perleche, Ramos, Ibargüen, Iraola; Vásquez, Campodónico, Lliuya, Sernaqué; Mena plus a runner (Canela/Leguía). The visitors lean heavily on Mena’s penalty-box craft and Lliuya’s service; transitions could be their best pathway in Huancayo.</p> <h3>Injuries and News</h3> <p>Huancayo miss Aldair Ccorahua and Axel Chávez; Alianza Universidad are without Ray Gómez. No recent coaching changes. Media and fan sentiment in Peru tips strongly toward a Huancayo win, seeing this as a chance to consolidate a top-half push.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook and Value</h3> <p>The best edge sits in the first half and handicap markets. Huancayo have led at the break in 80% of home games; the <strong>First Half Winner (Home) at 2.00</strong> looks mispriced. Given Huancayo’s tendency to produce multi-goal margins at home coupled with Alianza Universidad’s dip, <strong>Huancayo -1 (AH) at 1.93</strong> is well supported. Goals should follow the data: BTTS trends are strong in Huancayo’s home fixtures, and <strong>BTTS Yes (1.67)</strong> and <strong>Huancayo & Over 2.5 (2.25)</strong> reflect both the attack bias and correlation when the hosts win.</p> <h3>Player to Watch</h3> <p><strong>Javier Sanguinetti (Huancayo)</strong>. In form and influential at altitude, he’s been timely with goals in recent home matches. At an <strong>anytime 3.10</strong> (if starting), he’s a value prop considering his shot locations and late-box runs.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Huancayo’s combination of early tempo, late pressure, and attacking depth should tell. Expect Alianza Universidad to contribute to the scoreline—especially through Mena—yet the altitude advantage and Huancayo’s home scoring profile tilt the outcome.</p> <p><strong>Score lean:</strong> Sport Huancayo 3-1 Alianza Universidad.</p> </body> </html>
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