ADT vs Cultural Santa Rosa
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head> <title>ADT vs Cultural Santa Rosa (Los Chankas) – Betting Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Context and Stakes</h2> <p>ADT welcome Cultural Santa Rosa (market-listed as Los Chankas) to Tarma in a mid-table Clausura clash with tangible stakes for finishing position and momentum. ADT’s home strength has underpinned their campaign, while the visitors’ season has been built on formidable home wins but persistently poor away returns. Cool, dry conditions and Tarma’s altitude set the stage for a familiar dynamic: ADT territorial pressure and late-game swings.</p> <h2>Form Guide</h2> <p>ADT’s recent ledger is mixed: a spirited 3-2 home win over Sporting Cristal and a gritty 1-0 over Alianza Atlético are offset by narrow defeats to Universitario (1-2) and D. Garcilaso (0-1). Under the surface, their last eight show meaningful improvement: +25% points per game and +36% goals-for versus season averages.</p> <p>The visitors’ last month features eye-catching scalps — notably a 1-0 away at Cristal — but the broader away sample remains weak: 0.75 points per game, 2.25 conceded per away game, and a 50% failure-to-score rate on the road. A three-match home surge contrasted sharply with travel frailties; their away equalizing rate (14%) is among the poorest profiles you’ll see in Liga 1.</p> <h2>Tactical Matchup</h2> <p>ADT’s home approach is direct but well-structured: early width, set-piece bite, and an upswing after the break. The numbers corroborate the eye test — 72% of their goals come in the second half, and they’ve scored first in a staggering 88% of home matches. When they lead, their 62% lead-defending rate (home) is buttressed by the visitors’ inability to claw back deficits away from home.</p> <p>For the visitors, the best path is compactness and counter-attacks through Pablo Bueno and Isaac Camargo. But in Tarma, transitions tend to happen deeper, and the defensive block tires late — a key reason they concede a disproportionate share in the final 30 minutes away.</p> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <ul> <li>Johnny Vidales (ADT): The division’s form finisher for ADT; if he starts, expect him to occupy the right channels and attack the near post.</li> <li>Mauro Da Luz (ADT): Six league goals, impactful mover between lines; at 2.40 anytime, he’s The Oracle’s prop angle.</li> <li>Pablo Bueno (Visitors): Nine-goal target man; thrives on quick servers like Manzaneda, but supply thins away from home.</li> </ul> <h2>Oddsmakers & Value</h2> <p>Books make ADT clear favorites (1.55 ML). The Oracle’s model agrees: ADT’s 2.00 home PPG versus 0.75 away PPG, combined with first-goal dominance (88% vs 75%), supports a strong home lean. The standout value, however, lies in micro-markets:</p> <ul> <li>ADT to score first at 1.50 is priced as a coin toss but profiles closer to 80% given the venue splits.</li> <li>Second half over 1.5 at 1.85 exploits both teams’ late-goal patterns.</li> <li>BTTS No at 1.95 leverages the visitors’ 50% away FTS and low away equalizing capacity.</li> </ul> <h2>The Oracle’s Prediction</h2> <p>ADT to assert control, particularly after the interval. The visitor threat in isolated moments is real, but the altitude and away-state metrics weigh heavily. A pragmatic ADT performance, with the first goal before the hour and the clincher late, is the modal outcome.</p> <p><strong>Projected Score:</strong> ADT 2–0 Cultural Santa Rosa (Los Chankas).</p> <h2>Final Word</h2> <p>Despite naming inconsistencies between Cultural Santa Rosa and Los Chankas in public data, the away-team numbers are unambiguous: travel struggles have persisted. In Tarma, that’s exactly the profile you want to oppose. The Oracle is backing ADT to strike first and win, with the second half providing the best window for goals.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights