Fajr Sepasi vs Chadormalu SC
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<html> <head><title>Fajr Sepasi vs Chadormalu SC: Tactical and Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Fajr Sepasi vs Chadormalu SC – Form, Factors, and Betting Angles</h2> <p>Fajr Sepasi welcome Chadormalu SC in Shiraz with both sides hunting stability but from very different vantage points on the table. Chadormalu sit 6th (18 pts, 12 GP), within touching distance of the top five, while Fajr Sepasi hover 13th (12 pts), intent on pulling clear of the relegation conversation. The league’s low baseline scoring profile typically suppresses totals, but Chadormalu’s away matches have been wild outliers this season.</p> <h3>Form Guide and Momentum</h3> <p>Fajr’s trend line is concerning: 0.88 points per game over their last eight compared to 1.25 across the season. A 2-0 loss away to Sepahan snapped a modest unbeaten run and underscored their current struggle to generate consistent chances against elite opposition. Still, at home they’ve been gritty—two 1-0 wins, a 1-1 draw, and only one blank in five.</p> <p>Chadormalu are steadier. Their last eight mirror their season (1.50 PPG), built primarily on a formidable home defensive platform. Away, they’ve veered from clean to chaotic: a 0-0 at Paykan, then a 2-0 loss at Gol Gohar, a 3-2 win at Mes Rafsanjan, and a 3-1 defeat at Tractor Sazi. That translates to 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded per away match—an extreme profile for this league.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics and Matchup</h3> <p>Fajr Sepasi’s 1.40 PPG at home versus Chadormalu’s 1.00 PPG on the road suggests the venue balances out the league position gap. The draw profile is prominent: Fajr have drawn 50% of their matches; the league as a whole sits at 43%. These trends, paired with Chadormalu’s away volatility, cue a contest that may settle into a cautious rhythm but still produce chances at both ends.</p> <h3>Tactical Tendencies</h3> <p>Expect Fajr to prioritize defensive structure and compact lines—hallmarks of many Pro League sides at home—seeking controlled entries and set-piece value. Chadormalu’s away data implies they can transition quickly and create, but also leave space behind their midfield shield. If Fajr can draw Chadormalu’s fullbacks upfield, the hosts should find enough entries to create one high-quality chance per half.</p> <h3>Key Numbers That Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Chadormalu away concessions: 2.20 per game; away clean sheets just 20%.</li> <li>Fajr have scored in 4/5 home games (80%).</li> <li>Chadormalu away games average 3.80 total goals; Over 2.5 hits 60%.</li> <li>Draw bias: Fajr 50% draws; league 43%—market may slightly underrate stalemate probability.</li> </ul> <h3>Betting Perspective</h3> <p>The most dependable angle is Fajr simply to get on the board. Their home scoring consistency meets a Chadormalu back line that’s far leakier away than their overall season numbers suggest. Both Teams to Score also attracts near evens with a strong away BTTS signal. Given draw-heaviness and table/venue interplay, Fajr +0.25 Asian Handicap is a pragmatic way to capture home resilience with protection. For totals, Over 2.25 at plus money fits the Chadormalu-away volatility while giving a half-loss buffer on exactly two goals.</p> <h3>Long Shots and Correct Score Picture</h3> <p>If you’re seeking a bigger price, the 1-1 correct score makes sense. It aligns with Fajr’s controlled home approach and Chadormalu’s ability to score but not always control away matches. The main risk to this script is if Chadormalu’s openings spiral into a higher-scoring exchange—as their 3-2 and 3-1 away results warn.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Expect a measured, competitive match with enough defensive gaps—especially from the visitors—to yield at least one home goal. The safest path is to back Fajr to score, consider BTTS, and protect the home side via +0.25. The draw remains a live runner in a league and matchup profile that consistently reward cautious game-state management.</p> </body> </html>
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