FC Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
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<html> <head><title>Anyang vs Ulsan Hyundai: Data-Driven Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Anyang’s Rise Meets Ulsan’s Away Malaise</h2> <p>Final Group B resumes with a compelling clash at Anyang Stadium where in-form FC Anyang host a faltering Ulsan Hyundai. The table places them seventh and ninth respectively, but recent trajectories diverge sharply. Anyang’s points per game over the last eight sits at 1.88, while Ulsan limp in at 0.75. The September meeting ended 0-0, but Anyang’s surge since then suggests a different rhythm this time.</p> <h3>Form and Venue: The Edges Belong to Anyang</h3> <p>Anyang’s home profile (1.47 PPG; 1.53 GF/1.18 GA) stacks favorably against Ulsan’s away returns (1.06 PPG; 1.06 GF/1.47 GA). The hosts have tightened defensively—only 0.88 GA over the last eight—while adding late-game punch (nine goals scored between 76-90 at home). Ulsan, by contrast, have not won away in 10 consecutive trips and concede heavily late (nine goals shipped in the final quarter-hour away).</p> <h3>The Second Half Storyline</h3> <p>Expect the match narrative to escalate after the interval. Both teams score a far greater share after halftime (Anyang 62% of GF, Ulsan 62% of GF). Anyang’s average minute of scoring at home is 57, Ulsan’s average minute conceded away is 54. With the hosts’ equalizing rate at home (50%) facing Ulsan’s lead-defending rate away (44%), the second half profiles as the decisive period—reinforced by high 0-0 HT rates in both teams’ splits.</p> <h3>Attacking Weapons and Output</h3> <p>For Anyang, Bruno Mota is the headline threat, delivering 13 league goals (31% of team output) and fresh off a brace on October 18. Supplementing him, Matheus Oliveira and Yago César give the attack a layered threat, especially in transitions and late phases. Ulsan’s goals have been distributed but muted away from home. Erick Farias leads with 9 league goals, but hasn’t netted since late July. Recent contributions from Gustav Ludwigson and veteran Lee Chung-yong (penalties) have helped, but the overall away production remains constrained.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Anyang’s set-up has leaned into a compact mid-block with quick verticality, then more assertive phases after the break—mirroring their late scoring surge. Ulsan’s travel profile has featured slower starts, difficulty protecting leads, and a tendency to drop deeper late, inviting pressure in the wide channels. Anyang’s cross volume and box occupation in the final 15 minutes have paid dividends, and that’s precisely where Ulsan’s defensive metrics are most fragile.</p> <h3>Key Metrics Supporting the Betting Angles</h3> <ul> <li>Ulsan away scored 2+ in just 3 of 17 away fixtures (17.6%).</li> <li>Anyang last 8: 1.88 PPG, 0.88 GA; Ulsan last 8: 0.75 PPG, 1.75 GA.</li> <li>Both teams’ GF distribution favors the 2nd half: ~60% apiece.</li> <li>Ulsan away 1-1 occurred in 29% of away matches this season.</li> </ul> <h3>Market View and Value</h3> <p>The market has not fully priced Ulsan’s chronic away underperformance in the team-total space. “Ulsan Under 1.5 Goals” around 1.65 is the standout, implying 60.6% where season evidence suggests north of 80%. Anyang’s Draw No Bet near 2.30 also looks an overlay given form, venue, and Ulsan’s 10-match away winless run. For flow markets, “Highest Scoring Half – Second Half” around 2.05 is logical given both sides’ pronounced late-game trends. And for those seeking a bigger swing, 1-1 at 5.75 is underpriced versus the frequency of that result for Ulsan on the road.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Verdict</h3> <p>Expect a tight match leaning toward Anyang on the balance of form and venue, with the decisive moments arriving after halftime. Ulsan’s away scoring cap and late defensive leaks should persist unless they radically change approach. The most robust angle: Ulsan Under 1.5 Team Goals. If one side nicks it late, Anyang are the likelier beneficiaries.</p> </body> </html>
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