Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju

<div> <h2>Ansan Greeners vs Cheongju FC: Data-Led Preview, Odds and Tactical Angles</h2> <p>Two struggling K League 2 sides collide at the Ansan Wa Stadium on September 21, but the trajectories are not equal. Ansan Greeners come in amid a prolonged slump, while Cheongju have at least shown resilience away from home. With both sides fighting to escape the lower reaches of the table (Cheongju 12th, Ansan 14th), the stakes are clear.</p> <h3>Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Ansan are in free fall: eight straight league defeats and a 14-match winless run. Their last eight matches show a stark collapse defensively — average goals against has ballooned to 2.63 (up 62% versus season average). They’ve taken 0 points over that span. At home the picture is bleak too: just 0.60 points per game, only two wins in 15, and they’ve conceded first in 80% of those home fixtures.</p> <p>Cheongju aren’t flying but offer more stability, especially away. They’ve collected 1.07 points per game on the road, score more frequently away (1.29 per game) and their last road result was a 2-2 at promotion-chasing Busan IPark. Cheongju also won the reverse fixture here 2-1 in early August.</p> <h3>Venue Splits and Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Venue-specific splits emphasize a key dynamic: Ansan average just 0.73 home goals, while Cheongju’s away games trend high-scoring (3.14 total goals per game; 71% over 2.5). Cheongju’s counter-punching profile matches well against an Ansan side prone to early errors and late collapses. The hosts spend 43% of home minutes trailing and only 9% leading; even when Ansan do lead, it’s rare, although they defend those leads relatively well (67%).</p> <h3>Goal Timing: Expect a Late Swing</h3> <p>Both teams skew toward second-half action. Ansan score 73% of their goals after halftime, with a cluster from 61-90. Cheongju concede 63% of their goals in the second half and also score heavily late away from home (61% after HT, with a notable spike in the final quarter-hour). This points to a cagey opening and a more open, higher-event second half.</p> <h3>Key Numbers vs League Baselines</h3> <ul> <li>Ansan vs League: 0.69 PPG vs 1.36 league average; 0.76 GF vs 1.30 average; 1.62 GA vs 1.30 average.</li> <li>Cheongju vs League: 0.86 PPG; 1.00 GF; 1.76 GA overall; but away GF 1.29 outscores the league average on the road (1.26).</li> <li>Totals: Cheongju away over 2.5 in 71% versus league 47% — a significant positive outlier.</li> </ul> <h3>Players and Patterns to Watch</h3> <p>For Cheongju, recent away scorers Seung-jae Lee and Young-whan Kim have provided key contributions, and the midfield set-piece quality (Hidetoshi Miyuki) can tilt tight moments. Ansan’s recent scorers Ji-hun Jo and Eduardo found late goals in a 2-3 loss to Busan, suggesting the hosts retain some punch in chase mode.</p> <h3>Situational Metrics and What They Mean for Bettors</h3> <ul> <li>When Ansan concede first (80% of home matches), they average only 0.17 PPG — a big in-game vulnerability.</li> <li>Cheongju’s lead-defending is weak overall (43%), which argues for Draw No Bet over straight away win to reduce risk if they fail to close the game out.</li> <li>Halftime output is typically low for both clubs (HT Over 2.5 is rare), pointing to cautious early phases.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds and Value Assessment</h3> <p>Market has the match near 50-50 (Ansan 2.70, Draw 3.10, Cheongju 2.55), but the stronger venue split and recent trends lean against the hosts. Cheongju Draw No Bet at 1.83 prices a “don’t lose” angle that aligns with Ansan’s 14-game winless run. Team to score first: Cheongju at 2.00 is also attractive given Ansan’s extreme tendency to concede first at home (80%).</p> <p>Totals-wise, the even-money Over 2.5 (2.00) carries modest value due to Cheongju’s away overs profile (71%) and Ansan’s defensive collapse. A sharper angle is Highest Scoring Half — 2nd Half at 2.15, backed by both teams’ late-goal patterns.</p> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Cheongju have the more reliable road metrics and the recent head-to-head edge. With Ansan spiraling and conceding first routinely, the safer side of the market is Cheongju on Draw No Bet, supplemented by away-first scorer and second-half action angles. Expect a controlled opening that gives way to a busier final 45.</p> </div>