Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Hazm
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<html> <head><title>Al‑Ettifaq vs Al‑Hazm: Betting Preview, Odds, and Tactical Insight</title></head> <body> <h3>Match Context</h3> <p>Al‑Ettifaq host Al‑Hazm at EGO Stadium, Dammam, with both sides needing a result after mixed starts. Ettifaq sit 11th, Hazm 14th. The mood locally is cautiously optimistic for Ettifaq and anxious for Hazm, who are again being tipped for a relegation fight if they don’t improve.</p> <h3>Team News and Availability</h3> <p>Ettifaq are without striker Ahmed Hassan Koka (hamstring) and long-term absentee keeper Joao Costa (ACL). Marek Rodák has been a strong presence in goal, ranking highly in saves. Upfront, Moussa Dembélé leads the line, with Khalid Al‑Ghannam the key wide outlet and Georginio Wijnaldum providing leadership and late-box runs. Hazm report no major injuries but continue to search for a consistent attacking chemistry; veterans Omar Al Somah and Amir Sayoud, plus Fabio Martins, haven’t yet clicked to drive reliable output.</p> <h3>Recent Form and What It Means</h3> <p>Ettifaq’s last five include no clean sheets, but their attack has produced seven goals—an encouraging sign given Dembélé’s gradual integration. Hazm’s form remains choppy: a 2-1 away win at Al‑Okhdood contrasts with blank sheets against stronger sides like Al Ahli and Al Nassr (both 0-2 defeats). That split hints at Hazm struggling to pierce better-organized defenses on the road.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchups to Watch</h3> <p>Ettifaq’s 4‑3‑3/4‑2‑3‑1 hybrid tilts through Medrán and Wijnaldum for progression and half-space combinations, seeking early runs from Al‑Ghannam and penalty-box touches for Dembélé. Expect a territorial advantage, with Ettifaq pressing to force Hazm deeper. Hazm prefer to keep games close away from home; their numbers show a controlled approach early and vulnerability late—71% of their goals conceded arrive after halftime, including a cluster in 76–90 minutes. That timing bias makes the second half the likely decisive phase.</p> <h3>Key Numbers Driving the Market</h3> <ul> <li>Hazm average 0.5 goals per game (overall), failing to score in 67%—a bottom-four offensive profile.</li> <li>Total-goals environment: Hazm matches average 1.67 goals (overall) and 2.0 away, well under the league’s 3.06. Unders have a structural edge.</li> <li>When Hazm concede first, they earn 0.0 PPG; equalizing rate is 0%. If Ettifaq strike first, the visitors rarely recover.</li> <li>Timing: Hazm’s average conceded minute is 65, and they’ve allowed three in 76–90’—a persistent late-drop theme.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds, Edges, and Value</h3> <p>The market sets the main line around 2.5 goals (Over 1.95 / Under 1.83) and a “goal line” at 2.75 with Under 1.65. Given Hazm’s low-event tendencies and scoring anemia, Under 2.75 adds valuable protection if the game lands on three. BTTS No at 1.95 is also a standout overlay versus Hazm’s 33% BTTS rate.</p> <p>On the 1x2, Ettifaq at 2.00 (or -0.5 AH at 2.00) is playable. The hosts bring superior talent and a better attacking ceiling, while Hazm’s inability to equalize once behind (0% rate) is decisive over 90 minutes. The “2nd half highest scoring half” at 2.00 fits Hazm’s late-leaning concession profile and Ettifaq’s likelihood to finish stronger at home in warm, dry conditions.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>Moussa Dembélé is the headline for anytime scorer markets (2.62). He’s central to Ettifaq’s attack and a penalty threat, with service from Wijnaldum and Medrán. Khalid Al‑Ghannam’s directness against a deep Hazm block could generate set-pieces and cut-backs—both high-quality assist zones for a number nine.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Card</h3> <ul> <li>Primary: Under 2.75 Goals (1.65) – Hazm’s low-event pattern and scoring issues.</li> <li>BTTS – No (1.95) – Hazm FTS 67% overall.</li> <li>Ettifaq Win (2.00) – Quality gap; Hazm don’t recover when trailing.</li> <li>Highest Scoring Half – 2nd (2.00) – Hazm concede late.</li> <li>Prop: Dembélé Anytime (2.62) – Primary finisher and PKs.</li> </ul> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>Ettifaq should control territory and opportunities, with Hazm aiming to hang around. The data supports a modest-score win for the hosts or a controlled, underish affair with late home pressure. The smartest staking sequence centers on Under 2.75 and BTTS No, with the home win and second-half angles as complementary positions.</p> </body> </html>
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