Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
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<html> <head><title>Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë – Superliga Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Tight margins expected in Vore</h2> <p>Fusha Sportive Vorë stages an early-season litmus test for two sides with very different venue identities. Vora have been perfect at home through two outings, while champions-elect pretenders Egnatia are the league’s best travelers so far. The betting market makes Egnatia favourites around 1.91, but the statistical fabric points to a low-event, late-tilting contest.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>On paper, Egnatia (3rd, 10 pts) arrive in superior overall form with three straight league wins and two successive away victories. Vora (6th, 7 pts) have split their results overall but are immaculate at home, with 2.00 goals scored and just 0.50 conceded per match.</p> <p>Both sides come in fresh after a full week’s rest since September 28. Injury reports are quiet; expect close to first-choice XIs. While some reports have cast Egnatia as “struggling,” current match data shows an efficient, balanced side with tidy defensive numbers (0.80 GA per match) and a knack for late winners.</p> <h3>Patterns that Matter</h3> <ul> <li>Vora at home: scored first in 100% and led at half-time in 100% of matches. Their leadDefendingRate at home is 100%.</li> <li>Egnatia away: 2.00 PPG, teamScoredFirst in 67% of away matches, but equalising rate away is 0% when behind—comeback profile is weak on the road.</li> <li>Late half bias: Vora record 60% of goals in the second half; Egnatia 67%. Both have activity in 76–90’, with Egnatia notching multiple late goals (Albanese, Léo Melo).</li> <li>Tight totals: Over 2.5 hits just 20% for both clubs; BTTS sits at 40% apiece.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical Lens</h3> <p>Vora’s home matches have opened with assertive structure: pressing triggers, vertical runs, and early set-play value—witness a penalty goal and strong first halves (two HT leads). Expect Bernard Karrica’s direct threat and Luís Felipe from the spot to keep Egnatia’s back line honest.</p> <p>Egnatia are more patient away. They absorb, hold shape, and grow into games post-HT. The midfield pairing around Albano Aleksi and Regi Lushkja allows efficient ball circulation and protects transitions. In attack, Alessandro Albanese’s timing at the back post and Léo Melo’s late movement have been decisive in the final quarter-hour.</p> <h3>Key Players to Watch</h3> <ul> <li>Vora: Bernard Karrica – brace earlier this season; a primary source of first-goal threat.</li> <li>Egnatia: Alessandro Albanese – scorer of key goals (including a pen) and dangerous after the interval.</li> <li>Egnatia: Léo Melo – late runs and clutch finishing, hallmark of their 76–90’ productivity.</li> </ul> <h3>Odds and Value Angles</h3> <p>The prices align with a cautious totals market: Under 2.5 at 1.53 suggests the books see a low-scoring tilt. However, Under 2.0 at 1.95 offers superior value with push protection at exactly two goals. Given the 20% Over 2.5 profiles and 2.00 average total goals for both, the sharper angle is Under 2.0.</p> <p>Another standout is Highest Scoring Half: 2nd at 2.13. Both teams consolidate chance creation after HT, and the late-goal evidence is clear—especially from Egnatia. Small-stake, big-price interest comes on Vora First Goal at 2.60 and even the HT Correct Score Vora 1-0 at 6.00, backed by their 100% HT home leads and early scoring minutes. For safety, Vora +0.5 at 1.82 covers the home strength versus Egnatia’s travel variance.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Expect a cagey first hour punctuated by tactical patience, with sharper edges after the break. Vora’s early punch could still surface—especially if they generate set-plays—but overall the numbers call for restraints on goals. A 0-0 or 1-1 sits near the modal outcome; if there’s a winner, one late Egnatia moment or a Vora set-piece may decide it.</p> <h3>Best Bets</h3> <ul> <li>Under 2.0 goals (1.95)</li> <li>Highest scoring half – 2nd (2.13)</li> <li>Vora to score first (2.60)</li> <li>Vora +0.5 (1.82)</li> </ul> <p><strong>Key Stat:</strong> Vora have led at half-time in 100% of their home matches and scored first in 100% at home.</p> </body> </html>
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