AF Elbasani vs Bylis
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<html> <head><title>AF Elbasani vs Bylis – Match Preview, Odds, and Analysis</title></head> <body> <h2>AF Elbasani vs Bylis: Tight Margins Favour the Hosts</h2> <p>Elbasani welcome Bylis to a cool October Superliga evening with a growing belief they can consolidate a top-half push. The market makes the hosts favourites around 1.70, with a draw near 3.20 and Bylis out to 4.75. The Oracle’s read aligns with sentiment: Elbasani are sturdier, especially at home, while Bylis’ away attack remains under scrutiny.</p> <h3>Form and Context</h3> <p>Elbasani’s early campaign has been built on defensive discipline: just 0.57 goals conceded per game and a 57% clean sheet rate overall. At home they’re better still—0.50 GA/g and 75% clean sheets—recording two 1-0 wins and a 0-0. Despite a 1-2 setback against Vora last time here, they’ve largely controlled game states, trailing a mere 1% of home minutes.</p> <p>Bylis arrive with 0.86 PPG and a blunt edge: they’ve failed to score in 71% of matches and haven’t struck first yet this season. A spirited 3-1 home win over Partizani is countered by recent blanks in a 0-1 at Teuta and a 0-1 home loss to leaders Vllaznia (via late own goal). Away, they average 1.00 GF and 1.33 GA but are scoreless in two of three; that 3-3 at Flamurtari looks an outlier against the broader trend.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchup</h3> <p>Expect Elbasani to keep their compact 4-4-2/4-2-3-1 shape, favouring a measured tempo and structured pressing mid-block. Their scoring is modest but timely, often after the half-hour mark, while the back line defends crosses well and limits box entries. Bylis are likely to sit deeper and look for transition moments through the channels and set-pieces. The problem: they rarely impose themselves early (0% scored first) and spend large spells level or trailing, making chance volume thin.</p> <h3>Key Numbers and Goal Timing</h3> <ul> <li>Elbasani home HT draws: 75% (three 0-0s). Bylis HT draws: 86% overall, 67% away.</li> <li>BTTS profile: Elbasani home 25%; Bylis away 33%. Bylis failed to score 71% overall.</li> <li>Totals: Elbasani home total goals 1.25 per game; over 2.5 just 25% at home.</li> <li>Game state: Elbasani scored first 75% at home; Bylis scored first 0% (season).</li> </ul> <p>Those splits scream a slow-burn first half and low-event match overall. Elbasani’s average first goal at home is around the 47th minute and they rarely concede early; Bylis concede earlier on their travels but still grind to the interval frequently level.</p> <h3>Betting Angles</h3> <p><strong>First Half Draw (2.00)</strong> stands out: the combined HT-draw rates point to a fair line sub-1.70. From there, the game’s most frequent outcomes skew to tight home wins—1-0 and 2-0—supported by Elbasani’s 75% home clean sheet rate and Bylis’ severe scoring droughts. That underpins <strong>BTTS No (1.68)</strong> and the combo of <strong>Elbasani & Under 3.5 (2.10)</strong>. For the bolder punter, <strong>Correct Score 1-0 (5.50)</strong> fits both historical scorelines and current profiles.</p> <h3>What Could Flip the Script?</h3> <p>Elbasani’s lead-defending rate (60% overall) is below league norms, and they’ve conceded late in a couple of recent games. If Bylis are to get anything, it likely comes from a late set piece or a transition after Elbasani push. Still, Bylis’ chance creation has lagged, and their equalizing rate (50%) sits on a knife’s edge given limited shot volume.</p> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>With the data pointing to a cagey opening and Elbasani’s home defensive edge, the probabilities favour a grind: HT draw, hosts shade it late, and goals at a premium. Bank on a controlled Elbasani win without fireworks.</p> <h4>Best Bets Recap</h4> <ul> <li>First Half Draw @ 2.00</li> <li>BTTS No @ 1.68</li> <li>Elbasani & Under 3.5 @ 2.10</li> <li>Lean: Elbasani Clean Sheet @ 2.10; Correct Score 1-0 @ 5.50</li> </ul> </body> </html>
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