Flamurtari vs Bylis
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<html> <head><title>Flamurtari vs Bylis: Data-Driven Betting Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Flamurtari v Bylis — Form, Trends, and Where the Value Lies</h2> <p>Flamurtari host Bylis in Vlorë with both clubs hovering near the bottom third of the Albania Superliga. The table is tight: Bylis sit 8th on 18 points; Flamurtari are 9th with 15. Both sides arrive off midweek fixtures: Flamurtari drew 1-1 away to AF Elbasani, while Bylis fell 0-1 at home to Tirana.</p> <h3>Current Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Flamurtari’s recent trend is quietly positive in attack. Over their last eight, they’ve lifted goals scored by nearly 19% compared to their season baseline. Results remain fragile—winless in five—but they’ve found the net in four straight. Bylis, conversely, have deteriorated defensively: goals conceded have risen to 1.88 per game in the last eight. The nadir was a 4-1 defeat at Vora, coming not long after a heavy 5-1 loss at league leaders Egnatia.</p> <h3>Venue Dynamics: Vlorë’s Risk and Reward</h3> <p>Flamurtari’s home data screams volatility. They average 1.0 scored and 1.56 conceded at the Flamurtari Stadium, with a notably low clean-sheet rate (11%). That single number underpins several profitable betting angles: they concede in 89% of home matches, which points strongly toward Bylis to score at least once. Home matches trend towards goals: 44% Over 2.5 and a total goals average of 2.56. Bylis’ away numbers amplify the theme: 1.00 scored, 1.89 conceded, 2.89 total goals, and 44% Over 2.5 on the road.</p> <h3>Tactical Matchups and Game State</h3> <p>Flamurtari’s Achilles heel is game-state management. Their lead-defending rate is a meagre 17% at home, one of the softest profiles in the division. That fragility invites second-half drama. Bylis, by contrast, are sturdy at holding a lead (80%) and do their best work after halftime. Expect Bylis to grow into the game and threaten late, especially through Ibrahim Mustapha—who has been their most incisive forward and has produced crucial second-half goals this term.</p> <h3>Goal Timing: The Second-Half Story</h3> <p>Both teams are back-loaded. Flamurtari score 61% of their goals in the second half and concede 64% after the break at home. Bylis are even more pronounced: 72% of their goals arrive in the second half (78% away). The average minutes of first goals (Flamurtari 55’, Bylis 52’) reinforce the edge on second-half markets. With the match likely tight and cagey early, expect the tempo and chance quality to rise beyond the interval.</p> <h3>Head-to-Head Notes and Context</h3> <p>The early-season meeting ended 3-3, a chaotic indicator of how these styles clash—set-piece skirmishes, transitions, and late swings. Media recollections also note a narrow Flamurtari win in Ballsh during the autumn. On balance, this H2H points to volatility rather than control, which matches the broader stats profile.</p> <h3>Where the Prices Look Wrong</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Bylis Over 0.5 Goals (1.55)</strong> – Given Flamurtari’s 89% rate of conceding at home and Bylis scoring in two-thirds of away games, this line is a touch generous.</li> <li><strong>Highest Scoring Half: 2nd (2.08)</strong> – Both teams are second-half leaning; the price implies a coin flip. The data says the second half should be favored.</li> <li><strong>Over 2.25 (1.88)</strong> – Blended match totals land near 2.7, with both teams’ venue splits sitting 44% on Over 2.5. Taking 2.25 reduces downside on a 2-goal outcome.</li> <li><strong>BTTS Yes (1.83)</strong> – Both teams across the relevant splits hit 56% BTTS, a small but real edge versus the price.</li> </ul> <h3>Players and Styles to Watch</h3> <p>For Flamurtari, Erald Maksuti’s timing in the box matters, especially late, and Aldrit Oshafi has contributed clutch goals. For Bylis, Ibrahim Mustapha’s vertical threat and transitional finishing stand out. With Flamurtari’s lead保护 issues and Bylis’ second-half surge, late scoring sequences are the most likely storyline.</p> <h3>The Oracle’s Verdict</h3> <p>The best bet is Bylis to score at least once. The match leans toward an eventful second half, with either a 1-1 draw or a 2-1 either way looking most plausible. If you want a bigger price, the 1-1 exact score at 7.00 fits the statistical shape.</p> </body> </html>
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