Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Blooming

<h2>GV San Jose vs Blooming: Altitude test tips balance toward hosts</h2> <p>Estadio Jesús Bermúdez in Oruro plays host to a compelling Bolivia Primera División clash as GV San Jose welcome Blooming. The setting matters: Oruro’s altitude is a natural leveller, and the numbers say Blooming’s otherwise impressive campaign has a glaring away weakness that altitude tends to magnify.</p> <h3>Form and context</h3> <p>GV San Jose sit mid-table but transform at home, averaging 2.00 points per game (six wins in ten). Blooming are fourth and excellent in Santa Cruz (2.80 PPG), yet just 0.67 PPG away with three straight away defeats and nine conceded across those matches. Both sides arrive with minor wobbles in the last eight (GV down to 1.25 PPG; Blooming to 1.63 PPG), but venue splits are decisive: GV’s home edge and Blooming’s away fragility remain pronounced.</p> <h3>Where this match tilts</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Home strength:</strong> GV have scored first in 70% of their home matches, leading at halftime 60% of the time and defending those leads at a 67% clip.</li> <li><strong>Away weakness:</strong> Blooming’s lead-defending rate away collapses to 17%. They concede 2.56 goals per away match and have yet to keep an away clean sheet.</li> <li><strong>Second-half trend:</strong> Blooming concede late and often on their travels—17 of their 23 away concessions have come after the break, including seven from minutes 76–90.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical layers and key players</h3> <p>GV San Jose should lean on a compact 4-2-3-1/4-4-2 hybrid that’s been effective at home, leveraging early pressure and set pieces. J. López Pissano (two league goals) is the creative heartbeat between the lines, while veteran Raúl Becerra gives a reference point in the box; F. Arismendi and the energetic Gery Tapia provide ball-winning and transitions. At the back, Seimandi and Ramallo have formed a functional pair; keeper Bruno Poveda’s domestic ratings (7.30) are reassuring.</p> <p>Blooming’s away blueprint uses the guile of Martín Alaníz and Moisés Villarroel with Guido Vadalá floating into half-spaces. They carry threat—Blooming average 1.33 GF away—but are too open between lines after halftime, with fullbacks and the Enoumba–Etchebarne axis exposed in transitions. Goalkeeper Braulio Uraezaña has impressed overall but has faced high-quality chances away.</p> <h3>Stats that shape the markets</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Totals and BTTS:</strong> Blooming’s away games average a wild 3.89 goals with Over 2.5 cashing 89% and BTTS hitting 89%. GV home games average 2.90 with 60% Over 2.5. The blend supports goals and both teams scoring.</li> <li><strong>State of play:</strong> GV’s equalizing rate at home is 0%—a red flag if they concede first. But Blooming’s away lead-defending rate is just 17%, indicating they frequently surrender leads. The altitude and GV’s pressure phases suggest Blooming may fade again.</li> <li><strong>Scorelines:</strong> GV’s most common home win is 2–1 (20%). Blooming’s away ledger is littered with 3–2, 2–1, 4–1 varieties—consistent with BTTS + Over narratives.</li> </ul> <h3>Matchups to watch</h3> <ul> <li><strong>López Pissano vs Blooming’s pivots:</strong> If López finds pockets behind Blooming’s midfield line, the visitors’ center-backs get isolated, a recurring away theme.</li> <li><strong>Set plays at altitude:</strong> GV’s delivery into the box, especially early, can pin Blooming deep. Watch Seimandi/Michelli on restarts.</li> <li><strong>Transitions after 60’:</strong> Blooming’s concession cluster post-60 minutes (especially 76–90) invites late GV goals—prime for in-play angles on home second-half or late goals.</li> </ul> <h3>Verdict</h3> <p>On neutral ground, Blooming’s overall metrics would make this closer, but altitude and the stark away splits swing the needle toward GV San Jose. Expect a high-tempo start from the hosts, a more open second half, and enough chances at both ends to support BTTS and Overs. The data-driven path: GV to win, BTTS Yes, and a totals angle above 2.5/2.75. A 2–1 home win sits squarely in the median outcome range.</p> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <ul> <li><strong>GV San Jose to win @ 1.60</strong> – Home 2.00 PPG vs Blooming 0.67 away; away lead defense 17%.</li> <li><strong>BTTS – Yes @ 1.62</strong> – Blooming away BTTS 89% this season.</li> <li><strong>Over 2.75 Goals @ 1.66</strong> – Blooming away totals 3.89; GV home 2.90.</li> <li><strong>GV team over 1.5 @ 1.53</strong> – Blooming away GA 2.56; 0 away clean sheets.</li> <li><em>Value</em>: <strong>2nd-half winner GV @ 1.95</strong> – Blooming concede 17 in away second halves.</li> </ul> <p><em>Note:</em> Blooming had slightly more rest, but the altitude factor and their away-state metrics outweigh freshness. Monitor lineups pre-kickoff for any late changes; otherwise, the data-backed angle favors GV in an entertaining, goal-friendly contest.</p>