Blooming vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo

<div> <h2>Blooming vs San Antonio Bulo Bulo: Data-Driven Preview, Picks and Value Plays</h2> <p>Blooming host San Antonio Bulo Bulo in Santa Cruz on Sunday evening with a clear statistical edge at their home ground. The hosts sit 4th and have been exceptional at the Tahuichi, while SA Bulo Bulo, 6th, arrive with lively attacking form but a defense that trends leaky away from home.</p> <h3>Why Blooming Are Justified Favourites</h3> <p>Few sides in Bolivia have been as dependable at home as Blooming in 2025: 9-1-0 at home, averaging 2.40 scored and just 0.80 conceded. Their <strong>lead-defending rate of 90%</strong> at home points to game-state control once they get ahead, and they spend only 7% of home minutes trailing. By contrast, SA Bulo Bulo’s away line shows 1.09 PPG with 2.18 conceded per game.</p> <p>Situational metrics also split the teams. When conceding first away, SA’s return collapses to <strong>0.33 PPG</strong>, while Blooming’s resilience is huge—at home they’ve equalized in every instance this season (100% equalizingRate) and still carry a 3.00 PPG whether they score first or not. The market’s 1.57 on Blooming ML feels fair, but the Asian Handicap lines offer better shaping for value.</p> <h3>The Second-Half Story: Expect the Game to Open Up</h3> <p>Both teams’ production leans late. Blooming score <strong>62% of their home goals after halftime</strong> (15 of 24), and SA away are even more second-half dependent at <strong>72%</strong> of their away goals. In the final quarter-hour, Blooming at home have 8 GF and 3 GA; SA away have 9 GF and 6 GA. That creates two angles: Blooming to win the second half, and the second half to be the highest scoring at around even money.</p> <h3>BTTS and the Winning Pattern</h3> <p>Blooming’s home matches land BTTS 70% of the time, and SA’s away profile sits at 64% BTTS. Importantly, the most common Blooming home wins are 3-1 and 2-1. In fact, <strong>6 of their 9 home wins</strong> have landed both Blooming to win and BTTS. At 2.62, the “Blooming & BTTS Yes” builder is priced below what the data suggests—it’s an attractive value angle.</p> <h3>Scoreline and Alternative Value</h3> <p>Correct score is volatile, but “Blooming 3-1” stands out. That exact result appeared in <strong>30% of Blooming’s home games</strong> this season and matches the flow: Blooming pull clear after the interval, SA get on the board late, and Blooming’s lead holds. At 11.00, the risk/reward profile is intriguing for small stakes.</p> <p>Another angle to consider is <strong>HT/FT Draw/Home at 4.75</strong>. With Blooming drawing at HT in 50% of their home games and SA drawing 45% of away HTs, coupled with Blooming’s second-half superiority, this ladder bet can complement a second-half winner play.</p> <h3>Players to Watch</h3> <p>For Blooming, <strong>César Menacho</strong> is in rhythm (brace on Sep 21) and <strong>Martín Alaníz</strong> has chipped in key goals. <strong>Guido Vadalá</strong> and <strong>Franco Posse</strong> add depth and movement in the front line. For SA Bulo Bulo, <strong>Antony Vásquez</strong> continues to carry goal threat and <strong>Julio Herrera</strong> has been decisive from the spot and in late-game actions. Still, SA’s back line has struggled to protect leads on the road.</p> <h3>Market Verdict</h3> <ul> <li><strong>Best Bet:</strong> Blooming -0.75 AH (1.70) — home dominance vs away leakage; excellent state management when ahead.</li> <li><strong>Value Bet:</strong> Blooming & BTTS Yes (2.62) — pattern aligns with both teams’ profiles and Blooming’s typical winning margins.</li> <li><strong>Flow Bet:</strong> Blooming to win 2nd Half (1.83) and/or Highest Scoring Half: 2nd (1.95).</li> <li><strong>Small-Stake Prop:</strong> Correct Score 3-1 (11.00).</li> </ul> <h3>Bottom Line</h3> <p>Data points unanimously to a Blooming home result, with the most robust edge after halftime. San Antonio’s recent uptick in goals does increase BTTS likelihood, but the underlying situational numbers—especially when SA concede first—strongly favor Blooming covering a modest handicap.</p> </div>