Blooming vs Bolívar

Primera Division - Bolivia Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas completed

Match Information

Home Team: Blooming
Away Team: Bolívar
Competition: Primera Division
Country: Bolivia
Date & Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 07:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas

Match Preview

<html> <head><title>Blooming vs Bolívar: Match Preview, Odds, and Betting Insight</title></head> <body> <h2>Overview</h2> <p>Fourth-placed Blooming welcome third-placed Bolívar to Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas in Santa Cruz with both sides eyeing a statement result as the campaign moves into its decisive stretch. The Oracle sees a clash between Blooming’s formidable home body of work and a Bolívar side peaking at the right time.</p> <h2>Form and Momentum</h2> <p>Blooming’s home ledger (9-1-1) is excellent, yet their recent trajectory is troubling: just 1.13 points per game over the last eight, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.88 per match. A 0-3 home defeat to San Antonio Bulo Bulo exposed defensive fragility and a loss of control in key phases.</p> <p>Bolívar, by contrast, are trending up—2.38 PPG in their last eight, three straight league wins, and unbeaten in six. They’ve tightened up defensively (0.88 GA over that period) while still carrying a substantial attacking threat. Away from La Paz, their 1.80 PPG and 40% clean sheet rate are among the league’s premier travel profiles.</p> <h2>Tactical Matchups</h2> <p>Blooming’s best work at home often comes from quick wide combinations and late box entries, where Guido Vadalá and Diego Martín Alaníz can stitch play to find César Menacho. Moisés Villarroel’s timing into the area gives them a secondary goal route. However, Blooming’s vulnerability between 61’–90’ (conceding a heavy share of their goals) invites trouble against a Bolívar team that finish strongly.</p> <p>Bolívar’s layered attack—Dorny Romero’s direct running, Martín Cauteruccio’s penalty-box economy, and Carlos Melgar’s set-play/final-third production—means they can threaten in both transitions and sustained possession. Ramiro Vaca’s creative supply is pivotal in breaking the first defensive line, an area Blooming have struggled to police in recent weeks.</p> <h2>Game-State Dynamics</h2> <p>Blooming at home defend leads exceptionally (90% lead retention) but only score first 55% of the time, and their average minute of first goal conceded at home is early (16’), inviting comeback scenarios. Bolívar excel at seizing initiative—71% score-first rate overall—yet remain composed when falling behind (1.17 PPG after conceding first), more than the league norm.</p> <h2>Key Numbers</h2> <ul> <li>Blooming over 2.5 goals in 77% of matches; Bolívar overall 71% (away 50%).</li> <li>BTTS: Blooming 73% overall (64% at home); Bolívar 60% away.</li> <li>Second-half skew: Blooming concede 64% of goals in 2H; Bolívar score 56% in 2H, with 15 goals in the 76–90’ window.</li> <li>Last-8 divergence: Blooming 1.13 PPG vs Bolívar 2.38 PPG.</li> </ul> <h2>Odds and Value</h2> <p>The market rightly prices Bolívar slight favorites on 1x2 at 2.05, but the standout edge sits on the Asian line: Bolívar +0.5 at 2.00 (equivalent to Draw/Away in double chance) is markedly higher than DC Draw/Away at 1.36. Given Bolívar’s current form and defensive metrics, that discrepancy represents premium value.</p> <p>Total goals markets lean high. With both teams’ second-half profiles, “Highest scoring half: 2nd” at 2.05 aligns with the data. The BTTS + Over 2.5 combo at 1.80 suits Blooming’s open game states and Bolívar’s late-game potency.</p> <h2>Players to Watch</h2> <p>Dorny Romero (Bolívar) is a compelling anytime scorer candidate given current form and Blooming’s late-phase concessions. For Blooming, César Menacho and Guido Vadalá remain the most likely finishers if they can exploit wide-to-central combinations against a disciplined Bolívar back line.</p> <h2>Prediction</h2> <p>The Oracle projects a tight, high-tempo contest with the visitors slightly more reliable in the big moments. Bolívar to avoid defeat is the smarter core position, with the second half holding most of the decisive action. A 1-2 or 2-2 type scoreline sits right in the median of outcomes.</p> </body> </html>

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