Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko
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<html> <head> <title>Bohemians 1905 vs Slovácko – Data-Led Match Preview</title> </head> <body> <h2>Match Context</h2> <p>Bohemians 1905 host Slovácko at Dolicek on September 14, with both sides seeking steadier footing after scrappy starts. Bohemians sit ninth with 7 points from six, while Slovácko are 12th with five from seven. The narrative around both clubs remains cautious: Bohemians’ summer was about consolidating and tightening up, Slovácko’s about finding goals on a budget. Neither camp expects fireworks—making the small margins decisive in Prague.</p> <h2>Form and Venue Splits</h2> <p>Venue data is stark. Bohemians’ home games have been extremely low event: just 1.33 total goals per game and zero matches Over 2.5. They’ve scored one goal at home in three fixtures (67% failed to score), with BTTS hitting 0% at Dolicek.</p> <p>Slovácko’s away numbers suggest resilience without punch: 0.67 away PPG, 0.67 goals for and 1.33 against, with Over 2.5 away also at 0%. They’ve yet to score first this season (0/7) and have not led away at all (time leading 0%), though their away draw rate sits at 67%.</p> <h2>Goal Timing and Flow</h2> <p>Both sides lean late. Slovácko score 75% of their goals after half-time with an average scoring minute of 75, and have three goals in the 76–90 segment. Bohemians also show a late-scoring tilt (two goals in the final quarter-hour). First halves, by contrast, are subdued—Slovácko have 57% half-time draws, and there have been no first-half 2.5+ goal totals across their fixtures.</p> <h2>Situational Edges</h2> <p>Slovácko concede first in 100% of their matches; Bohemians have only opened the scoring in 17% overall but do fare better at home (33%). Both teams protect leads well (lead-defending rate 100%), so the first goal could be decisive. When conceding first, Bohemians still take 0.80 PPG (0.00 at home), while Slovácko manage 0.71—another clue this will be cagey if the hosts score first.</p> <h2>Players and Matchups</h2> <p>For Bohemians, the forward minutes are spread: Abdulla Yusuf Helal and Václav Drchal have the lone league goals among regular attackers. On the flanks and in the channels, Vlasiy Sinyavskiy’s 1 assist and high dribble success (16/17) suggests he’s a key ball progressor. At the back, Jan Vondra’s 7.22 rating, 15 interceptions, and strong duels (40 won) fit the low-event home profile.</p> <p>Slovácko’s threat centers on Marko Kvasina’s physical presence (101 duels, 52 won) and Michal Trávník’s set-piece and penalty utility (1 goal, 9 key passes). Defensively, Filip Vaško and Andrej Stojchevski rack up blocks and interceptions but the collective problem is starting on the back foot; opponents have struck first in all seven games.</p> <h2>Tactical Expectations</h2> <p>Bohemians should look like a compact 4-2-3-1, leaning on midfield ball-winners (Okeke, Sakala) to break up play and feed Helal/Drchal. Slovácko are likely reactive—either 4-4-2 or a more cautious back-five variant—aiming to survive the first phase and leverage set pieces or late surges, where their goal timings shine.</p> <h2>Market View and Betting Value</h2> <p>Bookmakers make Bohemians slight favorites (1.95 ML), with the draw 3.30 and Slovácko 3.75. Totals look a shade high given the venue and team splits—Under 2.25 at 2.00 stands out, as does BTTS No at 1.91. If you want price, the draw at 3.30 is defensible given Slovácko’s away draw frequency and both sides’ goal scarcity.</p> <p>Prop-wise, a 1-0 home scoreline at 6.50 aligns with the data: Bohemians’ home pattern, Slovácko’s scoring issues, and both teams’ high lead-defending rates. A corners over 10.5 at 2.00 is a sneaky angle—Slovácko matches average 12.86 corners with 10.5+ hitting 57%.</p> <h2>Bottom Line</h2> <p>Numbers scream “tight.” The best edge is on the Under, complemented by BTTS No. If pressed for a side, Bohemians -0.25 balances modest home edge with some downside protection. Expect a territorial battle that opens up late, with one goal likely enough to settle it.</p> </body> </html>
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