Viktoria Žižkov vs Ústí nad Labem
Match Information
Match Preview
<html> <head><title>Viktoria Žižkov vs Ústí nad Labem – Comprehensive Preview</title></head> <body> <h2>Overview</h2> <p>Viktoria Žižkov host Ústí nad Labem in the Czech FNL on 28 September 2025 in what projects as a tight mid-table showdown. Consolidated odds make Žižkov slight favourites at home (2.10), with the draw at 3.60 and Ústí priced 2.88. Both sides sit in the upper mid-pack, separated by fine margins and eyeing momentum before the autumn schedule intensifies.</p> <h3>Venue Split and Match-Up Dynamics</h3> <ul> <li>Home vs away PPG: Žižkov 1.80 (home) vs Ústí 1.00 (away).</li> <li>Žižkov home defense: 60% clean sheets; 1.00 GA per home game.</li> <li>Ústí away volatility: 1.75 GA and 1.50 GF per game; both teams scored in 100% of away matches.</li> <li>Lead dynamics: Žižkov’s home lead-defending rate is perfect (100%); Ústí defend away leads at 50%.</li> </ul> <h3>Current Form and Momentum</h3> <p>Across the last eight, both clubs post 13 points (form table), each slightly below their season PPG (Žižkov -14.2%, Ústí -8.4%). Žižkov bounced back with a 0-2 away win at Baník Ostrava B after a heavy home loss to Zbrojovka Brno, while Ústí’s recent 1-2 home defeat to Prostějov capped a two-game winless run. Fatigue should not be a factor: both sides have a full week’s rest.</p> <h3>Goal Timing and Flow</h3> <ul> <li>First goal trends: Žižkov score first 80% overall (60% at home); Ústí concede first in 75% of aways.</li> <li>Late goal watch: Ústí are strong at the death (76–90 minutes: 5 GF, 0 GA overall; 2 GF away). Žižkov also find late goals but to a lesser extent.</li> <li>First-half patterns: While extremes (HT over 2.5) are rare, the exact distribution is mixed; HT draws are less common in Ústí aways.</li> </ul> <h3>Tactical Notes and Player Watch</h3> <p>Žižkov’s attack is more conservative at home (1.00 GF/game) but clinical when ahead, aided by sturdy game-state management. Forwards M. Richter and D. Gembický have provided timely goals (Richter versus Jihlava, Gembický in the recent away win), while the side’s structured shape underpins that 100% home lead-defending rate.</p> <p>Ústí’s identity is more open: 3.56 total goals per game (league avg 2.84), BTTS in 89% overall and 100% away. Creative sparks like Pavel Moulis and Antonín Fantis (plus late impact from Seydil Touré) point to an offence that rarely blanks but can leave space in transition.</p> <h3>Comparative Context vs League</h3> <ul> <li>Žižkov are better than league average defensively: GA 1.10 (league 1.42), clean sheets 50% (league 28%).</li> <li>Ústí’s BTTS and total goals are extreme outliers: BTTS 89% (league 52%), total goals 3.56 (league 2.84).</li> </ul> <h3>Red Flags and Contradictions</h3> <p>Two opposing forces collide: Žižkov’s low-event home profile and clean-sheet rate vs Ústí’s BTTS-everywhere trend. Also, Žižkov’s very high “team scored first” rate (80%) and home lead-defending at 100% may regress. Early-season sample sizes (9–10 games) add variance; lines should be sized accordingly.</p> <h3>Weather and Conditions</h3> <p>Prague forecast: 14–18°C, light winds, low chance of rain—neutral conditions for both styles.</p> <h3>Betting Outlook and Suggested Angle</h3> <p>The venue split and game-state metrics favour Žižkov not losing at home. Draw No Bet (Asian 0) at 1.62 looks the best blend of edge and protection. The “Home to score first” at 1.80 is underpinned by strong initiator/receiver splits. For totals, Under 3.5 at 1.50 fits the median despite Ústí’s BTTS profile—Žižkov’s home control keeps ceilings down. For a price-driven dart, 2-1 Žižkov at 9.00 mirrors Ústí’s two 2-1 away defeats and their tendency to nick a goal.</p> <h3>Prediction</h3> <p>Viktoria Žižkov 2–1 Ústí nad Labem.</p> </body> </html>
Betting Odds
Odds are currently unavailable.
Odds are provided for informational purposes. Please gamble responsibly.
AI Analysis & Predictions
Get comprehensive AI-powered analysis for this match with our advanced prediction models. Our AI considers team form, head-to-head records, player statistics, and real-time data to provide accurate insights.
- Real-time match predictions
- In-depth statistical analysis
- Live odds monitoring
- Expert betting insights